Home-2

Five Star Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Samford	21	+2.5		5-4	4-4-0	2-6-0	30.1	24.7	25	54.3
Mercer	28	-2.5	55.5	7-3	4-6-0	6-4-0	27.2	24.2	29.3	-4.3

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Samford			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
9	Oct 28	VS Citadel	-	-24.5	50	37-7	W	W	U	0%	0%	26%	73%	100%	100%
8	Oct 21	at VMI	-	-14	45.5	27-14	W	L	U	0%	0%	95%	74%	0%	0%
7	Oct 14	VS Furman	-	+6.5	60	21-27	L	W	U	0%	0%	3%	17%	100%	100%
6	Oct 7	at Wofford	-	-12.5	49.5	31-10	W	W	U	0%	0%	82%	70%	0%	0%
5	Sep 30	VS E Tennessee ST	-	-16.5	60	42-28	W	L	O	0%	0%	100%	91%	100%	100%
4	Sep 23	VS Chattanooga	-	-7.5	55	24-47	L	L	O	0%	0%	10%	73%	1%	33%
3	Sep 16	at Auburn	-	+38	62	13-45	L	W	U	0%	0%	15%	21%	72%	44%
2	Sep 9	at W Carolina	-	-6	64.5	7-30	L	L	U	0%	0%	2%	29%	100%	100%
1	Aug 31	VS Shorter	-	-	-	69-14	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Mercer			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
10	Nov 4	at Citadel	-	-20	45.5	38-16	W	W	O	0%	0%	95%	74%	0%	0%
9	Oct 28	at W Carolina	-	+9	57	45-38	W	W	O	0%	0%	1%	14%	100%	100%
8	Oct 21	VS Wofford	-	-20	41.5	31-17	W	L	O	0%	0%	99%	77%	100%	100%
7	Oct 14	VS Chattanooga	-	+1	51.5	10-22	L	L	U	0%	0%	70%	60%	21%	62%
6	Oct 7	at E Tennessee ST	-	-13.5	54	24-6	W	W	U	0%	0%	78%	55%	0%	0%
5	Sep 30	VS VMI	-	-20.5	42	38-3	W	W	U	0%	0%	1%	48%	100%	100%
4	Sep 23	at Furman	-	+11	50.5	14-38	L	L	O	0%	0%	89%	45%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	VS Morehead ST	-	-35	55.5	48-22	W	L	O	0%	0%	100%	92%	100%	100%
1	Sep 2	at Ole Miss	-	+34.5	58.5	7-73	L	L	O	0%	0%	5%	8%	82%	69%
1	Aug 26	(n) N Alabama	-1450	-21.5	58.5	17-7	W	L	U	82%	90%	93%	82%	7%	25%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 19	Mercer Samford	44 50	0 0	-110 -110	57.5	SAMF	SAMF	-	Home	Over
2021 Oct 2	Samford Mercer	42 45	+6 -6	+195 -235	68.5	MERC	SAMF	DOG	Road	Over
2019 Nov 2	Samford Mercer	33 36	-1.5 +1.5	- -	76	MERC	MERC	DOG	HOME	Under
2018 Sep 15	Mercer Samford	30 24	- -	- -	-	MERC	-	-	-	-
2017 Nov 4	Samford Mercer	20 3	- -	- -	-	SAMF	-	-	-	-

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SAMF	Statistic	MERC	Edge	Margin
9	Games	10	MERC	1
30.1	Points Scored	27.2	SAMF	2.9
302.2	Passing Yards	194.5	SAMF	107.7
9.9	PYPC	12.6	MERC	2.7
7.2	PYPA	8.3	MERC	1.2
72.4	Completion PCT	65.8	SAMF	6.6
131.0	Rushing Yards	142.4	MERC	11.4
3.9	RYPA	3.6	SAMF	0.3
50.6	PenaltyYards	53.1	SAMF	2.5
1.2	Turnovers	1.5	SAMF	0.3

Defensive Statistics

SAMF	Statistic	MERC	Edge	Margin
9	Games	10	SAMF	1
24.7	Points Scored	24.2	MERC	0.5
206.1	Passing Yards	219.2	SAMF	13.1
10.9	PYPC	11.8	SAMF	0.9
6.9	PYPA	7.0	SAMF	0.1
63.6	Completion PCT	59.6	MERC	4.0
172.3	Rushing Yards	112.1	MERC	60.2
4.6	RYPA	3.3	MERC	1.3
42.2	PenaltyYards	54.6	MERC	12.4
1.0	Turnovers	1.8	MERC	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SAMF	Statistic	MERC	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
19.5	Points Scored	31.8	MERC	12.3
235.0	Passing Yards	222.3	SAMF	12.8
9.0	PYPC	13.5	MERC	4.5
6.1	PYPA	9.2	MERC	3.1
67.7	Completion PCT	68.0	MERC	0.3
134.5	Rushing Yards	145.3	MERC	10.8
4.1	RYPA	4.1	SAMF	0.0
36.0	PenaltyYards	64.8	SAMF	28.8
1.0	Turnovers	1.0	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

SAMF	Statistic	MERC	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
24.8	Points Scored	16.0	MERC	8.8
224.5	Passing Yards	209.8	MERC	14.8
10.2	PYPC	11.7	SAMF	1.5
6.6	PYPA	7.1	SAMF	0.5
64.2	Completion PCT	60.5	MERC	3.7
199.3	Rushing Yards	78.3	MERC	121.0
5.2	RYPA	2.4	MERC	2.8
31.3	PenaltyYards	46.5	MERC	15.3
1.3	Turnovers	1.8	MERC	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SAMF	Statistic	MERC	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.0	Points Scored	27.2	SAMF	0.8
299.9	Passing Yards	194.5	SAMF	105.4
9.8	PYPC	12.6	MERC	2.8
7.0	PYPA	8.3	MERC	1.3
71.4	Completion PCT	65.8	SAMF	5.6
123.6	Rushing Yards	142.4	MERC	18.8
3.8	RYPA	3.6	SAMF	0.2
50.0	PenaltyYards	53.1	SAMF	3.1
1.2	Turnovers	1.5	SAMF	0.3

Defensive Statistics

SAMF	Statistic	MERC	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
24.9	Points Scored	24.2	MERC	0.7
204.9	Passing Yards	219.2	SAMF	14.3
11.0	PYPC	11.8	SAMF	0.8
7.1	PYPA	7.0	MERC	0.1
64.8	Completion PCT	59.6	MERC	5.2
171.7	Rushing Yards	112.1	MERC	59.6
4.5	RYPA	3.3	MERC	1.1
39.5	PenaltyYards	54.6	MERC	15.1
1.0	Turnovers	1.8	MERC	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SAMF	Statistic	MERC	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
32.6	Points Scored	27.0	SAMF	5.6
348.0	Passing Yards	240.5	SAMF	107.5
10.6	PYPC	13.3	MERC	2.7
7.5	PYPA	6.9	SAMF	0.6
71.3	Completion PCT	52.2	SAMF	19.1
161.3	Rushing Yards	182.1	MERC	20.9
4.5	RYPA	4.2	SAMF	0.3
69.5	PenaltyYards	52.9	MERC	16.6
1.5	Turnovers	1.3	MERC	0.3

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 11	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Samford Mercer	+2.5 -2.5	80% 20%	25% 75%	55.5 55.5	11% 89%	33% 67%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 11	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Samford	21	+2.5		20.0		25.0	54.3	26.5	53.8
Mercer	28	-2.5	55.5	21.5	-4.2	29.3	-4.3	27.3	-0.8

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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