Home-2

Bobcat Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
S Alabama	44	-6		6-5	4-7-0	5-6-0	29.7	19.2	31.5	57.9
Texas ST	52	+6	57	6-5	5-6-0	4-6-1	34.6	32.9	26.4	5

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
S Alabama			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
12	Nov 18	VS Marshall	-360	-10.5	45.5	28-0	W	W	U	85%	89%	38%	40%	33%	71%
11	Nov 11	VS Arkansas ST	-650	-14	54.5	21-14	W	L	U	71%	96%	80%	65%	78%	64%
10	Nov 2	at Troy	+205	+7	43.5	10-28	L	L	U	13%	13%	39%	28%	64%	72%
9	Oct 28	VS Louisiana	-440	-11	55.5	20-33	L	L	U	64%	97%	72%	67%	83%	62%
8	Oct 17	VS Southern Miss	-1100	-18.5	51	55-3	W	W	O	78%	90%	66%	62%	58%	64%
6	Oct 7	at LA Monroe	-410	-10.5	51.5	55-7	W	W	O	80%	97%	50%	54%	59%	73%
5	Sep 30	at James Madison	-105	+1	48.5	23-31	L	L	O	19%	19%	36%	20%	52%	66%
4	Sep 23	VS C Michigan	-750	-16	46.5	30-34	L	L	O	77%	95%	59%	57%	32%	73%
3	Sep 16	at Oklahoma ST	+225	+7	49	33-7	W	W	U	18%	4%	47%	21%	89%	78%
2	Sep 9	VS SE Louisiana	-	-23	59.5	35-17	W	L	U	0%	0%	86%	67%	48%	42%
1	Sep 2	at Tulane	+190	+6	51	17-37	L	L	O	29%	14%	58%	34%	50%	74%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Texas ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
12	Nov 18	at Arkansas ST	-155	-3	59.5	31-77	L	L	O	88%	79%	75%	68%	54%	56%
11	Nov 11	at Coastal Carolina	-142	-2.5	55.5	23-31	L	L	U	42%	41%	69%	50%	42%	59%
10	Nov 4	VS Georgia Southern	-135	-2	69	45-24	W	W	P	84%	62%	81%	57%	39%	27%
9	Oct 28	VS Troy	+215	+7	53.5	13-31	L	L	U	47%	22%	26%	32%	41%	49%
7	Oct 14	VS LA Monroe	-1100	-19.5	64	21-20	W	L	U	81%	98%	79%	69%	84%	50%
6	Oct 7	at Louisiana	+102	+1.5	66.5	30-34	L	L	U	76%	54%	32%	45%	29%	42%
5	Sep 30	at Southern Miss	-238	-6.5	60	50-36	W	W	O	54%	88%	34%	68%	43%	24%
4	Sep 23	VS Nevada	-950	-17	59.5	35-24	W	L	U	81%	97%	73%	79%	40%	43%
3	Sep 16	VS Jackson ST	-	-18.5	61.5	77-34	W	W	O	0%	0%	65%	62%	73%	41%
2	Sep 9	at Texas-San Antonio	+410	+14	66	13-20	L	W	U	61%	20%	38%	63%	63%	56%
1	Sep 2	at Baylor	+1700	+27	59	42-31	W	W	O	20%	4%	27%	22%	25%	62%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 12	Texas ST Bobcats S Alabama Jaguars	21 38	+16.5 -16.5	+550 -750	46	SALA	SALA	FAV	Home	Over
2021 Oct 9	S Alabama Jaguars Texas ST Bobcats	31 33	-4 +4	-185 +160	52.5	TXST	TXST	DOG	HOME	Over
2020 Oct 17	Texas ST Bobcats S Alabama Jaguars	20 30	+4.5 -4.5	+170 -200	57.5	SALA	SALA	FAV	Home	Under
2019 Nov 9	S Alabama Jaguars Texas ST Bobcats	28 30	+6.5 -6.5	+211 -255	41.5	TXST	SALA	DOG	Road	Over
2018 Sep 15	Texas ST Bobcats S Alabama Jaguars	31 41	+10 -10	+289 -360	48.5	SALA	-	-	-	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SBAMA	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
29.7	Points Scored	34.6	TXST	4.8
252.7	Passing Yards	263.9	TXST	11.2
12.0	PYPC	11.5	SBAMA	0.5
8.0	PYPA	7.8	SBAMA	0.2
66.9	Completion PCT	68.0	TXST	1.2
167.6	Rushing Yards	198.2	TXST	30.6
4.6	RYPA	4.9	TXST	0.3
57.6	PenaltyYards	65.9	SBAMA	8.3
1.6	Turnovers	1.9	SBAMA	0.4

Defensive Statistics

SBAMA	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
19.2	Points Scored	32.9	SBAMA	13.7
195.3	Passing Yards	243.5	SBAMA	48.2
12.2	PYPC	12.1	TXST	0.1
7.3	PYPA	7.7	SBAMA	0.4
59.7	Completion PCT	63.8	SBAMA	4.1
117.3	Rushing Yards	165.3	SBAMA	48.0
3.3	RYPA	4.3	SBAMA	1.0
46.2	PenaltyYards	46.6	TXST	0.5
1.6	Turnovers	1.2	SBAMA	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SBAMA	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
27.6	Points Scored	38.2	TXST	10.6
236.6	Passing Yards	276.4	TXST	39.8
11.3	PYPC	11.6	TXST	0.3
7.3	PYPA	7.9	TXST	0.6
64.8	Completion PCT	68.4	TXST	3.6
128.8	Rushing Yards	250.4	TXST	121.6
3.7	RYPA	5.9	TXST	2.2
47.8	PenaltyYards	69.8	SBAMA	22.0
1.6	Turnovers	2.0	SBAMA	0.4

Defensive Statistics

SBAMA	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
22.0	Points Scored	26.6	SBAMA	4.6
206.4	Passing Yards	242.6	SBAMA	36.2
14.0	PYPC	11.8	TXST	2.2
8.1	PYPA	7.7	TXST	0.5
58.3	Completion PCT	65.2	SBAMA	6.9
127.8	Rushing Yards	124.0	TXST	3.8
3.5	RYPA	3.7	SBAMA	0.2
60.4	PenaltyYards	51.6	SBAMA	8.8
1.8	Turnovers	1.2	SBAMA	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SBAMA	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
31.0	Points Scored	33.8	TXST	2.8
259.0	Passing Yards	260.5	TXST	1.5
12.4	PYPC	11.3	SBAMA	1.1
8.2	PYPA	7.6	SBAMA	0.6
65.9	Completion PCT	67.5	TXST	1.6
176.8	Rushing Yards	203.7	TXST	26.9
4.8	RYPA	5.0	TXST	0.2
57.4	PenaltyYards	69.4	SBAMA	12.0
1.2	Turnovers	1.9	SBAMA	0.7

Defensive Statistics

SBAMA	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
17.4	Points Scored	33.1	SBAMA	15.7
185.4	Passing Yards	226.2	SBAMA	40.8
11.4	PYPC	11.6	SBAMA	0.2
6.6	PYPA	7.4	SBAMA	0.8
57.9	Completion PCT	64.1	SBAMA	6.3
114.8	Rushing Yards	171.0	SBAMA	56.2
3.3	RYPA	4.4	SBAMA	1.1
43.8	PenaltyYards	46.8	TXST	3.0
1.4	Turnovers	1.1	SBAMA	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SBAMA	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
30.1	Points Scored	28.0	SBAMA	2.1
231.5	Passing Yards	225.0	SBAMA	6.5
11.2	PYPC	11.0	SBAMA	0.2
7.6	PYPA	6.7	SBAMA	0.9
67.9	Completion PCT	60.8	SBAMA	7.1
154.1	Rushing Yards	155.8	TXST	1.6
4.0	RYPA	3.9	SBAMA	0.1
80.5	PenaltyYards	65.9	TXST	14.6
1.5	Turnovers	1.4	TXST	0.1

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 25	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
South Alabama Texas ST	-6 +6	78% 22%	63% 37%	57 57	67% 33%	62% 38%	-245 +200	45% 55%	75% 25%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 25	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
S Alabama Jaguars	44	-6.0		43.5		31.5	57.9	30.5	57.6
Texas ST Bobcats	52	+6.0	57.0	34.0	7.1	26.4	5.0	27.2	3.3

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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