Home-2

Centennial Bank Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Texas ST	31	-3		6-4	5-5-0	3-6-1	34.9	28.5	31	59.2
Arkansas ST	77	+3	59.5	5-5	5-4-1	4-6-0	23.5	30.8	28.2	2.8

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Texas ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
11	Nov 11	at Coastal Carolina	-142	-2.5	55.5	23-31	L	L	U	42%	41%	69%	50%	42%	59%
10	Nov 4	VS Georgia Southern	-135	-2	69	45-24	W	W	P	84%	62%	81%	57%	39%	27%
9	Oct 28	VS Troy	+215	+7	53.5	13-31	L	L	U	47%	22%	26%	32%	41%	49%
7	Oct 14	VS LA Monroe	-1100	-19.5	64	21-20	W	L	U	81%	98%	79%	69%	84%	50%
6	Oct 7	at Louisiana	+102	+1.5	66.5	30-34	L	L	U	76%	54%	32%	45%	29%	42%
5	Sep 30	at Southern Miss	-238	-6.5	60	50-36	W	W	O	54%	88%	34%	68%	43%	24%
4	Sep 23	VS Nevada	-950	-17	59.5	35-24	W	L	U	81%	97%	73%	79%	40%	43%
3	Sep 16	VS Jackson ST	-	-18.5	61.5	77-34	W	W	O	0%	0%	65%	62%	73%	41%
2	Sep 9	at Texas-San Antonio	+410	+14	66	13-20	L	W	U	61%	20%	38%	63%	63%	56%
1	Sep 2	at Baylor	+1700	+27	59	42-31	W	W	O	20%	4%	27%	22%	25%	62%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Arkansas ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
11	Nov 11	at S Alabama	+470	+14	54.5	14-21	L	W	U	29%	4%	20%	35%	78%	64%
10	Nov 4	VS Louisiana	+225	+7	61	37-17	W	W	U	16%	7%	54%	42%	49%	32%
9	Oct 28	at LA Monroe	-108	+1	55	34-24	W	W	O	31%	44%	50%	41%	47%	45%
8	Oct 21	VS Coastal Carolina	+300	+9.5	59	17-27	L	L	U	23%	4%	21%	22%	41%	36%
6	Oct 7	at Troy	+500	+15.5	52	3-37	L	L	U	10%	3%	58%	51%	84%	79%
5	Sep 30	at Massachusetts	+124	+2.5	56	52-28	W	W	O	15%	41%	7%	25%	93%	42%
4	Sep 23	VS Southern Miss	+195	+6.5	46.5	44-37	W	W	O	25%	11%	49%	34%	14%	45%
3	Sep 16	VS Stony Brook	-	-24	48	31-7	W	P	U	0%	0%	39%	68%	43%	76%
2	Sep 9	VS Memphis	+950	+21	57	3-37	L	L	U	28%	8%	18%	23%	39%	72%
1	Sep 2	at Oklahoma	-	+36	57.5	0-73	L	L	O	0%	0%	20%	32%	81%	73%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 19	Arkansas ST Red Wolves Texas ST Bobcats	13 16	+6.5 -6.5	+195 -230	50	TXST	ARST	DOG	Road	Under
2021 Nov 27	Texas ST Bobcats Arkansas ST Red Wolves	24 22	+2.5 -2.5	+115 -135	62.5	TXST	TXST	DOG	Road	Under
2020 Nov 21	Arkansas ST Red Wolves Texas ST Bobcats	45 47	-4.5 +4.5	- +157	69	TXST	TXST	DOG	Home	Over
2019 Oct 26	Texas ST Bobcats Arkansas ST Red Wolves	14 38	+10.5 -10.5	+317 -400	61	ARST	ARST	FAV	HOME	Under
2018 Nov 24	Arkansas ST Red Wolves Texas ST Bobcats	33 7	-14 +14	-600 +447	49.5	ARST	ARST	FAV	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TXST	Statistic	ARST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
34.9	Points Scored	23.5	TXST	11.4
253.7	Passing Yards	222.2	TXST	31.5
11.8	PYPC	14.0	ARST	2.2
8.0	PYPA	7.8	TXST	0.2
68.1	Completion PCT	55.8	TXST	12.4
200.7	Rushing Yards	149.2	TXST	51.5
4.9	RYPA	4.1	TXST	0.8
66.9	PenaltyYards	56.8	ARST	10.1
1.7	Turnovers	1.0	ARST	0.7

Defensive Statistics

TXST	Statistic	ARST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.5	Points Scored	30.8	TXST	2.3
248.2	Passing Yards	256.0	TXST	7.8
11.9	PYPC	11.4	ARST	0.5
7.5	PYPA	7.9	TXST	0.4
62.8	Completion PCT	69.1	TXST	6.3
152.7	Rushing Yards	175.4	TXST	22.7
4.0	RYPA	4.7	TXST	0.7
42.6	PenaltyYards	60.3	ARST	17.7
1.3	Turnovers	0.8	TXST	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TXST	Statistic	ARST	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
31.6	Points Scored	26.4	TXST	5.2
231.0	Passing Yards	207.8	TXST	23.2
11.9	PYPC	12.8	ARST	0.9
8.1	PYPA	7.0	TXST	1.1
67.8	Completion PCT	54.7	TXST	13.1
151.0	Rushing Yards	189.8	ARST	38.8
3.8	RYPA	4.8	ARST	1.0
64.0	PenaltyYards	55.2	ARST	8.8
1.4	Turnovers	1.4	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

TXST	Statistic	ARST	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
30.4	Points Scored	25.0	ARST	5.4
253.8	Passing Yards	237.6	ARST	16.2
12.1	PYPC	10.9	ARST	1.2
7.3	PYPA	7.3	ARST	0.0
60.7	Completion PCT	67.3	TXST	6.6
181.4	Rushing Yards	144.8	ARST	36.6
4.2	RYPA	4.2	ARST	0.0
33.6	PenaltyYards	38.0	ARST	4.4
1.4	Turnovers	1.0	TXST	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TXST	Statistic	ARST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
34.9	Points Scored	23.5	TXST	11.4
253.7	Passing Yards	222.2	TXST	31.5
11.8	PYPC	14.0	ARST	2.2
8.0	PYPA	7.8	TXST	0.2
68.1	Completion PCT	55.8	TXST	12.4
200.7	Rushing Yards	149.2	TXST	51.5
4.9	RYPA	4.1	TXST	0.8
66.9	PenaltyYards	56.8	ARST	10.1
1.7	Turnovers	1.0	ARST	0.7

Defensive Statistics

TXST	Statistic	ARST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.5	Points Scored	30.8	TXST	2.3
248.2	Passing Yards	256.0	TXST	7.8
11.9	PYPC	11.4	ARST	0.5
7.5	PYPA	7.9	TXST	0.4
62.8	Completion PCT	69.1	TXST	6.3
152.7	Rushing Yards	175.4	TXST	22.7
4.0	RYPA	4.7	TXST	0.7
42.6	PenaltyYards	60.3	ARST	17.7
1.3	Turnovers	0.8	TXST	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TXST	Statistic	ARST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
21.7	Points Scored	33.7	ARST	12.0
190.0	Passing Yards	247.2	ARST	57.2
11.1	PYPC	12.4	ARST	1.3
6.4	PYPA	7.7	ARST	1.3
57.4	Completion PCT	62.1	ARST	4.7
162.8	Rushing Yards	208.4	ARST	45.6
4.6	RYPA	4.6	ARST	0.1
46.1	PenaltyYards	51.7	TXST	5.6
1.1	Turnovers	0.5	ARST	0.6

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 18	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Texas ST Arkansas ST	-3 +3	75% 25%	68% 32%	59.5 59.5	54% 46%	56% 44%	-155 +130	88% 12%	79% 21%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 18	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Texas ST Bobcats	31	-3.0		38.0		31.0	59.2	36.5	61.6
Arkansas ST Red Wolves	77	+3.0	59.5	32.0	3.7	28.2	2.8	25.2	11.3

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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