Home-2

Troy at

Bobcat Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Troy	31	-7		5-2	3-4-0	2-5-0	26.6	17.4	29.3	53.2
Texas ST	13	+7	53.5	5-2	4-3-0	3-4-0	38.3	28.4	24	5.3

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Troy			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	at Army	-250	-6.5	41.5	19-0	W	W	U	69%	86%	63%	65%	21%	57%
6	Oct 7	VS Arkansas ST	-700	-15.5	52	37-3	W	W	U	90%	97%	42%	49%	84%	79%
5	Sep 30	at Georgia ST	-105	+1	50.5	28-7	W	W	U	7%	24%	45%	24%	52%	64%
4	Sep 23	VS W Kentucky	-192	-4	58	27-24	W	L	U	43%	61%	66%	52%	51%	57%
3	Sep 16	VS James Madison	-142	-2.5	46.5	14-16	L	L	U	39%	38%	72%	66%	57%	75%
2	Sep 9	at Kansas ST	+470	+14.5	49.5	13-42	L	L	O	5%	2%	26%	18%	57%	73%
1	Sep 2	VS Stephen F Austin	-4500	-26	48.5	48-30	W	L	O	59%	91%	32%	65%	27%	66%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Texas ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	VS LA Monroe	-1100	-19.5	64	21-20	W	L	U	81%	98%	79%	69%	84%	50%
6	Oct 7	at Louisiana	+102	+1.5	66.5	30-34	L	L	U	76%	54%	32%	45%	29%	42%
5	Sep 30	at Southern Miss	-238	-6.5	60	50-36	W	W	O	54%	88%	34%	68%	43%	24%
4	Sep 23	VS Nevada	-950	-17	59.5	35-24	W	L	U	81%	97%	73%	79%	40%	43%
3	Sep 16	VS Jackson ST	-	-18.5	61.5	77-34	W	W	O	0%	0%	65%	62%	73%	41%
2	Sep 9	at Texas-San Antonio	+410	+14	66	13-20	L	W	U	61%	20%	38%	63%	63%	56%
1	Sep 2	at Baylor	+1700	+27	59	42-31	W	W	O	20%	4%	27%	22%	25%	62%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 15	Texas ST Bobcats Troy Trojans	14 17	+16.5 -16.5	+575 -800	46.5	TROY	TXST	DOG	Road	Under
2021 Oct 16	Troy Trojans Texas ST Bobcats	31 28	-7.5 +7.5	-290 +245	48.5	TROY	TXST	DOG	HOME	Over
2020 Oct 10	Texas ST Bobcats Troy Trojans	17 37	+7 -7	+226 -275	59.5	TROY	TROY	FAV	Home	Under
2019 Nov 16	Troy Trojans Texas ST Bobcats	63 27	-7 +7	-290 +237	64.5	TROY	TROY	FAV	Road	Over
2018 Nov 17	Texas ST Bobcats Troy Trojans	7 12	+22.5 -22.5	+1098 -2200	47.5	TROY	TXST	DOG	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
26.6	Points Scored	38.3	TXST	11.7
259.1	Passing Yards	268.4	TXST	9.3
14.2	PYPC	12.0	TROY	2.1
8.5	PYPA	8.3	TROY	0.2
60.1	Completion PCT	68.7	TXST	8.6
185.6	Rushing Yards	208.7	TXST	23.1
5.0	RYPA	5.3	TXST	0.2
52.3	PenaltyYards	60.4	TROY	8.1
1.9	Turnovers	1.7	TXST	0.2

Defensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
17.4	Points Scored	28.4	TROY	11.0
183.0	Passing Yards	248.0	TROY	65.0
10.4	PYPC	11.9	TROY	1.5
6.3	PYPA	7.4	TROY	1.0
60.9	Completion PCT	61.9	TROY	1.0
98.6	Rushing Yards	161.6	TROY	63.0
3.0	RYPA	4.0	TROY	1.0
32.9	PenaltyYards	42.1	TXST	9.3
1.6	Turnovers	1.6	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
20.0	Points Scored	44.3	TXST	24.3
233.0	Passing Yards	268.3	TXST	35.3
12.7	PYPC	11.7	TROY	1.0
7.9	PYPA	7.8	TROY	0.0
61.8	Completion PCT	67.0	TXST	5.2
148.7	Rushing Yards	301.7	TXST	153.0
4.4	RYPA	7.0	TXST	2.7
45.7	PenaltyYards	75.0	TROY	29.3
1.3	Turnovers	1.7	TROY	0.3

Defensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
16.3	Points Scored	26.0	TROY	9.7
173.7	Passing Yards	208.7	TROY	35.0
10.6	PYPC	10.6	TXST	0.0
6.6	PYPA	6.9	TROY	0.3
62.0	Completion PCT	64.8	TROY	2.8
143.0	Rushing Yards	137.3	TXST	5.7
3.6	RYPA	3.7	TROY	0.1
37.3	PenaltyYards	50.3	TXST	13.0
2.7	Turnovers	1.3	TROY	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.7	Points Scored	31.8	TXST	2.1
238.9	Passing Yards	235.1	TROY	3.8
14.8	PYPC	10.9	TROY	3.9
8.9	PYPA	7.1	TROY	1.8
60.2	Completion PCT	64.9	TXST	4.6
171.3	Rushing Yards	191.5	TXST	20.2
4.4	RYPA	5.1	TXST	0.6
47.7	PenaltyYards	51.8	TROY	4.1
1.7	Turnovers	1.5	TXST	0.2

Defensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
17.9	Points Scored	29.1	TROY	11.2
201.9	Passing Yards	251.8	TROY	49.9
10.3	PYPC	12.1	TROY	1.8
6.3	PYPA	7.4	TROY	1.1
60.9	Completion PCT	61.1	TROY	0.2
98.8	Rushing Yards	145.6	TROY	46.8
3.1	RYPA	3.8	TROY	0.7
41.0	PenaltyYards	45.7	TXST	4.7
2.0	Turnovers	1.2	TROY	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	TXST	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
38.0	Points Scored	17.1	TROY	20.9
285.9	Passing Yards	185.4	TROY	100.5
12.2	PYPC	11.2	TROY	1.0
8.3	PYPA	6.1	TROY	2.2
68.4	Completion PCT	54.7	TROY	13.6
147.3	Rushing Yards	139.4	TROY	7.9
4.0	RYPA	3.9	TROY	0.1
40.3	PenaltyYards	53.8	TROY	13.5
0.1	Turnovers	2.8	TROY	2.6

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 28	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Troy Texas ST	-6.5 +6.5	74% 26%	68% 32%	53 53	41% 59%	49% 51%	-258 +210	53% 47%	78% 22%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 28	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Troy Trojans	31	-7.0		47.0		29.3	53.2	28.9	56.9
Texas ST Bobcats	13	+7.0	53.5	38.5	6.1	24.0	5.3	28.1	0.8

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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