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Pratt & Whitney Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
South Florida	24	+1		3-4	3-4-0	4-3-0	28.6	36.1	28.9	56.4
Connecticut	21	-1	57	1-5	3-3-0	3-3-0	20.5	31.5	27.5	1.4

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
South Florida			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	VS FL Atlantic	-155	-3	61	14-56	L	L	O	39%	81%	26%	83%	81%	53%
6	Oct 7	at UAB	-155	-3	68	35-56	L	L	O	44%	75%	59%	70%	76%	39%
5	Sep 30	at Navy	+145	+3.5	54.5	44-30	W	W	O	50%	49%	84%	47%	25%	27%
4	Sep 23	VS Rice	+136	+3	57	42-29	W	W	O	29%	51%	8%	26%	37%	51%
3	Sep 16	VS Alabama	+3500	+35	61	3-17	L	W	U	12%	6%	5%	16%	55%	53%
2	Sep 9	VS Florida A&M	-1350	-19.5	64	38-24	W	L	U	63%	90%	38%	68%	84%	37%
1	Sep 2	at W Kentucky	+400	+13	71	24-41	L	L	U	34%	10%	32%	38%	39%	23%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Connecticut			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 7	at Rice	+280	+9.5	47.5	38-31	W	W	O	3%	3%	12%	21%	60%	78%
5	Sep 30	VS Utah ST	+160	+4	50.5	33-34	L	W	O	64%	19%	48%	31%	38%	40%
4	Sep 23	VS Duke	+1000	+22.5	45.5	7-41	L	L	O	12%	4%	41%	34%	64%	79%
3	Sep 16	VS Florida Intl	-305	-7	43.5	17-24	L	L	U	66%	88%	38%	51%	65%	68%
2	Sep 9	at Georgia ST	+120	+2.5	54	14-35	L	L	U	52%	63%	79%	67%	44%	49%
1	Aug 31	VS NC State	+500	+14.5	48	14-24	L	W	U	25%	14%	60%	50%	51%	70%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2019 Oct 5	South Florida Bulls Connecticut Huskies	48 22	-10.5 +10.5	-380 +303	48.5	SFLA	SFLA	FAV	Road	Over
2018 Oct 20	Connecticut Huskies South Florida Bulls	30 38	+33.5 -33.5	- -	67.5	SFLA	CONN	DOG	Road	Over
2017 Nov 4	South Florida Bulls Connecticut Huskies	37 20	-24 +24	- -	64.5	SFLA	CONN	DOG	HOME	Under
2016 Oct 15	Connecticut Huskies South Florida Bulls	27 42	+20.5 -20.5	+800 -1200	54	SFLA	CONN	DOG	Road	Over
2015 Oct 17	South Florida Bulls Connecticut Huskies	28 20	0 0	+100 -120	44	SFLA	SFLA	-	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CONN	Edge	Margin
7	Games	6	USF	1
28.6	Points Scored	20.5	USF	8.1
252.9	Passing Yards	190.5	USF	62.4
12.4	PYPC	11.1	USF	1.3
7.4	PYPA	6.5	USF	0.9
59.6	Completion PCT	58.2	USF	1.4
183.6	Rushing Yards	132.3	USF	51.2
4.1	RYPA	3.8	USF	0.3
68.7	PenaltyYards	63.3	CONN	5.4
1.9	Turnovers	1.2	CONN	0.7

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CONN	Edge	Margin
7	Games	6	CONN	1
36.1	Points Scored	31.5	CONN	4.6
305.0	Passing Yards	251.3	CONN	53.7
14.0	PYPC	12.6	CONN	1.4
8.8	PYPA	8.1	CONN	0.6
62.7	Completion PCT	64.5	USF	1.8
150.0	Rushing Yards	137.7	CONN	12.3
4.2	RYPA	4.0	CONN	0.2
61.4	PenaltyYards	43.5	USF	17.9
1.3	Turnovers	1.2	USF	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CONN	Edge	Margin
3	Games	4	CONN	1
34.3	Points Scored	17.8	USF	16.6
254.7	Passing Yards	163.0	USF	91.7
11.8	PYPC	10.0	USF	1.7
6.8	PYPA	5.5	USF	1.3
58.0	Completion PCT	54.6	USF	3.4
227.3	Rushing Yards	160.0	USF	67.3
4.8	RYPA	4.3	USF	0.5
66.0	PenaltyYards	66.8	USF	0.8
3.0	Turnovers	1.0	CONN	2.0

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CONN	Edge	Margin
3	Games	4	USF	1
42.3	Points Scored	30.8	CONN	11.6
260.3	Passing Yards	250.5	CONN	9.8
14.5	PYPC	13.9	CONN	0.5
8.7	PYPA	9.0	USF	0.4
60.0	Completion PCT	64.9	USF	4.9
207.3	Rushing Yards	116.0	CONN	91.3
5.2	RYPA	3.4	CONN	1.9
66.3	PenaltyYards	49.0	USF	17.3
0.7	Turnovers	0.5	USF	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CONN	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
30.4	Points Scored	21.7	USF	8.7
235.2	Passing Yards	160.1	USF	75.1
12.3	PYPC	10.7	USF	1.6
7.4	PYPA	6.0	USF	1.4
59.9	Completion PCT	56.4	USF	3.5
202.1	Rushing Yards	167.4	USF	34.7
4.6	RYPA	4.6	USF	0.1
61.3	PenaltyYards	71.0	USF	9.7
1.9	Turnovers	1.5	CONN	0.4

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CONN	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
38.8	Points Scored	29.4	CONN	9.4
291.9	Passing Yards	207.4	CONN	84.5
13.5	PYPC	12.1	CONN	1.5
8.9	PYPA	7.4	CONN	1.5
66.1	Completion PCT	61.4	CONN	4.6
193.9	Rushing Yards	170.8	CONN	23.1
5.1	RYPA	4.5	CONN	0.6
57.7	PenaltyYards	53.9	USF	3.8
1.2	Turnovers	1.3	CONN	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CONN	Edge	Margin
17	Games	17	-	0
25.3	Points Scored	18.4	USF	6.9
191.1	Passing Yards	186.2	USF	4.8
12.1	PYPC	11.4	USF	0.7
7.0	PYPA	6.0	USF	1.0
58.2	Completion PCT	52.7	USF	5.6
188.9	Rushing Yards	131.1	USF	57.8
4.7	RYPA	3.5	USF	1.2
69.2	PenaltyYards	44.4	CONN	24.9
2.1	Turnovers	1.3	CONN	0.8

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 21	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
South Florida UConn	+1 -1	26% 74%	60% 40%	57 57	36% 64%	47% 53%	-108 -112	33% 67%	59% 41%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 21	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
South Florida Bulls	24	+1.0		33.5		28.9	56.4	32.6	58.4
Connecticut Huskies	21	-1.0	57.0	28.0	-0.4	27.5	1.4	25.9	6.7

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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