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Jordan-Hare Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Mississippi ST	13	+6.5		4-3	2-5-0	4-3-0	26.9	25.7	16.9	43.1
Auburn	27	-6.5	40	3-4	2-5-0	3-4-0	26.7	23.9	26.2	-9.3

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Mississippi ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 21	at Arkansas	+225	+7	46	7-3	W	W	U	13%	11%	29%	26%	68%	84%
6	Oct 7	VS W Michigan	-1800	-21.5	55	41-28	W	L	O	91%	97%	74%	64%	32%	64%
5	Sep 30	VS Alabama	+600	+16.5	46	17-40	L	L	O	9%	4%	20%	14%	70%	76%
4	Sep 23	at South Carolina	+185	+6	47	30-37	L	L	O	65%	11%	21%	22%	74%	81%
3	Sep 16	VS LSU	+295	+9.5	54	14-41	L	L	O	14%	7%	33%	34%	84%	81%
2	Sep 9	VS Arizona	-325	-8	60	31-24	W	L	U	86%	92%	57%	63%	57%	48%
1	Sep 2	VS SE Louisiana	-9000	-31	59.5	48-7	W	W	U	76%	96%	75%	80%	91%	42%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Auburn			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 21	VS Ole Miss	+220	+6.5	55	21-28	L	L	U	36%	10%	34%	20%	58%	62%
7	Oct 14	at LSU	+300	+11	60.5	18-48	L	L	O	10%	4%	46%	45%	72%	73%
5	Sep 30	VS Georgia	+455	+14	45	20-27	L	W	O	5%	4%	13%	10%	58%	82%
4	Sep 23	at Texas A&M	+285	+9.5	51	10-27	L	L	U	20%	9%	25%	44%	76%	79%
3	Sep 16	VS Samford	-	-38	62	45-13	W	L	U	0%	0%	85%	79%	72%	44%
2	Sep 9	at California	-198	-4.5	55.5	14-10	W	L	U	63%	88%	41%	62%	67%	76%
1	Sep 2	VS Massachusetts	-	-35	52	59-14	W	W	O	0%	0%	52%	53%	92%	77%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 5	Auburn Tigers Mississippi ST Bulldogs	33 39	+12.5 -12.5	+380 -475	50.5	MSST	AUBR	DOG	Road	Over
2021 Nov 13	Mississippi ST Bulldogs Auburn Tigers	43 34	+6 -6	+190 -230	51	MSST	MSST	DOG	Road	Over
2020 Dec 12	Auburn Tigers Mississippi ST Bulldogs	24 10	-4 +4	- +155	49.5	AUBR	AUBR	FAV	Road	Under
2019 Sep 28	Mississippi ST Bulldogs Auburn Tigers	23 56	+8 -8	+260 -320	46.5	AUBR	AUBR	FAV	HOME	Over
2018 Oct 6	Auburn Tigers Mississippi ST Bulldogs	9 23	-3 +3	-160 +140	45	MSST	MSST	DOG	Home	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	AUB	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
26.9	Points Scored	26.7	MSST	0.1
203.0	Passing Yards	151.0	MSST	52.0
11.7	PYPC	10.8	MSST	1.0
7.3	PYPA	6.4	MSST	0.9
62.4	Completion PCT	59.4	MSST	3.0
148.1	Rushing Yards	186.0	AUB	37.9
4.6	RYPA	4.6	AUB	0.0
46.1	PenaltyYards	44.1	AUB	2.0
1.1	Turnovers	1.4	MSST	0.3

Defensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	AUB	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
25.7	Points Scored	23.9	AUB	1.9
239.7	Passing Yards	214.0	AUB	25.7
10.5	PYPC	12.3	MSST	1.8
7.6	PYPA	7.6	AUB	0.0
72.4	Completion PCT	61.6	AUB	10.8
127.6	Rushing Yards	157.7	MSST	30.1
3.6	RYPA	4.4	MSST	0.8
45.4	PenaltyYards	52.1	AUB	6.7
1.4	Turnovers	1.9	AUB	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	AUB	Edge	Margin
2	Games	4	AUB	2
18.5	Points Scored	36.3	AUB	17.8
286.0	Passing Yards	188.3	MSST	97.8
15.1	PYPC	11.8	MSST	3.3
9.5	PYPA	7.7	MSST	1.9
63.3	Completion PCT	65.3	AUB	2.0
76.0	Rushing Yards	220.8	AUB	144.8
2.6	RYPA	5.2	AUB	2.6
48.5	PenaltyYards	36.8	AUB	11.8
1.5	Turnovers	1.5	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	AUB	Edge	Margin
2	Games	4	MSST	2
20.0	Points Scored	20.5	MSST	0.5
192.5	Passing Yards	205.0	MSST	12.5
10.4	PYPC	12.4	MSST	2.0
7.6	PYPA	7.6	MSST	0.0
72.6	Completion PCT	61.1	AUB	11.4
123.5	Rushing Yards	136.0	MSST	12.5
2.9	RYPA	3.9	MSST	0.9
47.5	PenaltyYards	43.5	MSST	4.0
1.5	Turnovers	2.0	AUB	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	AUB	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.7	Points Scored	26.8	MSST	1.9
227.6	Passing Yards	131.6	MSST	96.0
10.5	PYPC	10.6	AUB	0.1
6.9	PYPA	6.0	MSST	1.0
65.9	Completion PCT	56.1	MSST	9.7
132.6	Rushing Yards	214.2	AUB	81.6
4.4	RYPA	5.1	AUB	0.7
44.0	PenaltyYards	44.8	MSST	0.8
1.4	Turnovers	1.5	MSST	0.1

Defensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	AUB	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
21.9	Points Scored	24.3	MSST	2.4
223.1	Passing Yards	226.2	MSST	3.1
10.1	PYPC	12.3	MSST	2.2
7.2	PYPA	7.0	AUB	0.2
70.5	Completion PCT	57.0	AUB	13.5
110.4	Rushing Yards	145.6	MSST	35.2
3.1	RYPA	4.3	MSST	1.2
39.9	PenaltyYards	55.5	AUB	15.6
1.5	Turnovers	1.7	AUB	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	AUB	Edge	Margin
23	Games	23	-	0
18.7	Points Scored	28.3	AUB	9.6
189.3	Passing Yards	194.1	AUB	4.8
10.2	PYPC	12.9	AUB	2.7
5.8	PYPA	7.6	AUB	1.8
56.8	Completion PCT	58.9	AUB	2.1
131.3	Rushing Yards	197.9	AUB	66.6
3.7	RYPA	4.8	AUB	1.0
51.4	PenaltyYards	49.4	AUB	2.0
2.0	Turnovers	1.8	AUB	0.2

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 28	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Mississippi ST Auburn	+6.5 -6.5	22% 78%	32% 68%	40 40	49% 51%	70% 30%	+190 -230	11% 89%	10% 90%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 28	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Mississippi ST Bulldogs	13	+6.5		50.0		16.9	43.1	16.3	44.0
Auburn Tigers	27	-6.5	40.0	50.5	-7.8	26.2	-9.3	27.8	-11.5

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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