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Glass Bowl

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Buffalo	13	+15		3-5	5-3-0	4-4-0	25.9	28.9	19.7	54
Toledo	31	-15	47	7-1	3-5-0	5-3-0	34.9	20.1	34.3	-14.5

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Buffalo			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 21	at Kent ST	-245	-6.5	44	24-6	W	W	U	71%	92%	41%	67%	58%	77%
7	Oct 14	VS Bowling Green	-155	-3	45	14-24	L	L	U	67%	83%	22%	53%	51%	76%
6	Oct 7	VS C Michigan	+124	+3	52	37-13	W	W	U	56%	35%	29%	30%	21%	58%
5	Sep 30	at Akron	+130	+3	53	13-10	W	W	U	53%	26%	32%	26%	63%	55%
4	Sep 23	at Louisiana	+295	+10	57.5	38-45	L	W	O	7%	4%	10%	16%	15%	52%
3	Sep 16	VS Liberty	+130	+3	54	27-55	L	L	O	54%	33%	58%	35%	65%	70%
2	Sep 9	VS Fordham	-2100	-23.5	55.5	37-40	L	L	O	75%	91%	93%	81%	97%	62%
1	Sep 2	at Wisconsin	+2200	+28.5	52.5	17-38	L	W	O	16%	3%	25%	23%	44%	43%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Toledo			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 21	at Miami OH	-130	-2	47	21-17	W	W	U	37%	41%	31%	29%	79%	84%
7	Oct 14	at Ball ST	-1050	-17.5	48.5	13-6	W	L	U	94%	98%	86%	62%	64%	80%
6	Oct 7	at Massachusetts	-1200	-19	56	41-24	W	L	O	90%	96%	78%	72%	42%	65%
5	Sep 30	VS N Illinois	-625	-14	48.5	35-33	W	L	O	75%	98%	57%	77%	62%	75%
4	Sep 23	VS W Michigan	-1350	-21.5	51.5	49-31	W	L	O	78%	94%	53%	54%	46%	67%
3	Sep 16	VS San Jose ST	-340	-8.5	56.5	21-17	W	L	U	60%	92%	76%	66%	66%	77%
2	Sep 9	VS Texas Southern	-	-40	63	71-3	W	W	O	0%	0%	64%	43%	87%	50%
1	Sep 2	at Illinois	+235	+7.5	45.5	28-30	L	W	O	31%	13%	56%	45%	28%	58%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 22	Toledo Rockets Buffalo Bulls	27 34	-7 +7	-265 +225	56	BUFF	BUFF	DOG	Home	Over
2019 Nov 20	Toledo Rockets Buffalo Bulls	30 49	+10 -10	+299 -375	53.5	BUFF	BUFF	FAV	Home	Over
2018 Oct 20	Buffalo Bulls Toledo Rockets	31 17	+3 -3	+125 -145	63	BUFF	BUFF	DOG	Road	Under
2013 Nov 12	Buffalo Bulls Toledo Rockets	41 51	+5.5 -5.5	+182 -215	54.5	TOL	TOL	FAV	HOME	Over
2012 Oct 27	Toledo Rockets Buffalo Bulls	25 20	-7.5 +7.5	-275 +235	61	TOL	BUFF	DOG	Home	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
25.9	Points Scored	34.9	TOL	9.0
196.3	Passing Yards	208.4	TOL	12.1
9.6	PYPC	12.3	TOL	2.6
5.5	PYPA	7.8	TOL	2.3
57.2	Completion PCT	63.6	TOL	6.4
127.8	Rushing Yards	233.3	TOL	105.5
3.7	RYPA	5.5	TOL	1.8
51.0	PenaltyYards	63.6	BUF	12.6
1.4	Turnovers	1.4	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
28.9	Points Scored	20.1	TOL	8.8
207.8	Passing Yards	183.6	TOL	24.1
10.9	PYPC	11.7	BUF	0.8
6.8	PYPA	6.4	TOL	0.4
62.7	Completion PCT	55.3	TOL	7.4
182.4	Rushing Yards	148.9	TOL	33.5
5.1	RYPA	4.1	TOL	1.0
48.8	PenaltyYards	55.9	TOL	7.1
1.8	Turnovers	1.6	BUF	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
23.0	Points Scored	44.0	TOL	21.0
181.5	Passing Yards	243.0	TOL	61.5
9.0	PYPC	13.9	TOL	4.9
5.1	PYPA	9.8	TOL	4.7
56.6	Completion PCT	70.7	TOL	14.1
137.0	Rushing Yards	234.3	TOL	97.3
3.8	RYPA	5.6	TOL	1.8
54.3	PenaltyYards	72.0	BUF	17.8
0.8	Turnovers	2.0	BUF	1.3

Defensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
24.8	Points Scored	21.0	TOL	3.8
163.0	Passing Yards	186.5	BUF	23.5
8.5	PYPC	11.1	BUF	2.7
5.7	PYPA	6.3	BUF	0.6
67.5	Completion PCT	56.3	TOL	11.2
196.5	Rushing Yards	149.3	TOL	47.3
5.6	RYPA	3.8	TOL	1.8
20.5	PenaltyYards	57.3	TOL	36.8
1.8	Turnovers	2.0	TOL	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.3	Points Scored	31.7	TOL	6.4
209.9	Passing Yards	200.4	BUF	9.5
10.1	PYPC	11.8	TOL	1.7
5.7	PYPA	7.5	TOL	1.8
56.4	Completion PCT	63.7	TOL	7.3
117.1	Rushing Yards	227.5	TOL	110.4
3.4	RYPA	5.2	TOL	1.8
53.8	PenaltyYards	64.3	BUF	10.5
1.4	Turnovers	1.2	TOL	0.2

Defensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
27.4	Points Scored	18.7	TOL	8.7
227.1	Passing Yards	178.3	TOL	48.8
10.8	PYPC	11.4	BUF	0.7
6.7	PYPA	6.4	TOL	0.4
62.4	Completion PCT	55.7	TOL	6.7
160.0	Rushing Yards	139.2	TOL	20.8
4.8	RYPA	4.1	TOL	0.7
51.9	PenaltyYards	51.7	BUF	0.2
1.9	Turnovers	1.5	BUF	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
32.8	Points Scored	34.6	TOL	1.9
265.3	Passing Yards	248.0	BUF	17.3
13.5	PYPC	13.7	TOL	0.2
7.6	PYPA	7.8	TOL	0.2
56.3	Completion PCT	57.3	TOL	1.0
175.4	Rushing Yards	225.4	TOL	50.0
4.1	RYPA	5.6	TOL	1.4
44.3	PenaltyYards	57.1	BUF	12.9
1.9	Turnovers	2.4	BUF	0.5

Betting Splits

Tuesday,October 31	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Buffalo Toledo	+15 -15	51% 49%	45% 55%	47 47	46% 54%	49% 51%	+500 -700	4% 96%	8% 92%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Tuesday, October 31	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Buffalo Bulls	13	+15.0		29.5		19.7	54.0	15.1	49.6
Toledo Rockets	31	-15.0	47.0	42.5	-15.9	34.3	-14.5	34.5	-19.4

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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