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Yager Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Toledo	21	-2		6-1	2-5-0	5-2-0	36.9	20.6	24.7	50.4
Miami OH	17	+2	47	6-1	6-1-0	4-3-0	31.6	19.1	25.7	-1

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Toledo			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	at Ball ST	-1050	-17.5	48.5	13-6	W	L	U	94%	98%	86%	62%	64%	80%
6	Oct 7	at Massachusetts	-1200	-19	56	41-24	W	L	O	90%	96%	78%	72%	42%	65%
5	Sep 30	VS N Illinois	-625	-14	48.5	35-33	W	L	O	75%	98%	57%	77%	62%	75%
4	Sep 23	VS W Michigan	-1350	-21.5	51.5	49-31	W	L	O	78%	94%	53%	54%	46%	67%
3	Sep 16	VS San Jose ST	-340	-8.5	56.5	21-17	W	L	U	60%	92%	76%	66%	66%	77%
2	Sep 9	VS Texas Southern	-	-40	63	71-3	W	W	O	0%	0%	64%	43%	87%	50%
1	Sep 2	at Illinois	+235	+7.5	45.5	28-30	L	W	O	31%	13%	56%	45%	28%	58%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Miami OH			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	at W Michigan	-340	-8	45	34-21	W	W	O	84%	97%	74%	75%	88%	72%
6	Oct 7	VS Bowling Green	-355	-8	43	27-0	W	W	U	90%	97%	40%	67%	44%	81%
5	Sep 30	at Kent ST	-575	-14	50.5	23-3	W	W	U	85%	97%	67%	67%	48%	55%
4	Sep 23	VS Delaware ST	-	-41	49.5	62-20	W	W	O	0%	0%	35%	34%	64%	70%
3	Sep 16	at Cincinnati	+455	+14	44.5	31-24	W	W	O	8%	2%	47%	23%	70%	86%
2	Sep 9	at Massachusetts	-265	-7	44	41-28	W	W	O	63%	86%	39%	55%	48%	66%
1	Sep 1	at Miami FL	+575	+16.5	45	3-38	L	L	U	11%	7%	33%	30%	68%	75%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2011 Oct 22	Miami OH RedHawks Toledo Rockets	28 49	+16 -16	+575 -725	55	TOL	TOL	FAV	Home	Over
2009 Oct 31	Toledo Rockets Miami OH RedHawks	24 31	-5.5 +5.5	-205 +190	57.5	MIAO	MIAO	DOG	HOME	Under
2008 Nov 21	Miami OH RedHawks Toledo Rockets	14 42	+3.5 -3.5	+155 -165	48.5	TOL	TOL	FAV	Home	Over
2004 Dec 2	Toledo Rockets Miami OH RedHawks	35 27	-1.5 +1.5	- -	65	TOL	TOL	FAV	Home	Under
2004 Nov 2	Toledo Rockets Miami OH RedHawks	16 23	+6 -6	- -	63.5	MIAO	MIAO	FAV	HOME	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TOL	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
36.9	Points Scored	31.6	TOL	5.3
215.3	Passing Yards	213.1	TOL	2.2
12.6	PYPC	15.2	MIAO	2.7
8.1	PYPA	9.1	MIAO	1.0
64.5	Completion PCT	59.8	TOL	4.8
244.0	Rushing Yards	162.3	TOL	81.7
5.8	RYPA	4.7	TOL	1.2
62.7	PenaltyYards	43.0	MIAO	19.7
1.6	Turnovers	1.1	MIAO	0.4

Defensive Statistics

TOL	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
20.6	Points Scored	19.1	MIAO	1.4
181.0	Passing Yards	200.6	TOL	19.6
11.6	PYPC	10.9	MIAO	0.7
6.6	PYPA	6.7	TOL	0.1
56.8	Completion PCT	61.4	TOL	4.7
156.3	Rushing Yards	132.6	MIAO	23.7
4.2	RYPA	3.8	MIAO	0.4
58.4	PenaltyYards	65.0	MIAO	6.6
1.6	Turnovers	0.9	TOL	0.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TOL	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
3	Games	2	TOL	1
27.3	Points Scored	44.5	MIAO	17.2
178.3	Passing Yards	175.0	TOL	3.3
10.7	PYPC	11.7	MIAO	1.0
6.2	PYPA	8.8	MIAO	2.6
57.5	Completion PCT	75.0	MIAO	17.5
257.0	Rushing Yards	326.0	MIAO	69.0
6.1	RYPA	7.2	MIAO	1.2
50.3	PenaltyYards	45.0	MIAO	5.3
1.0	Turnovers	0.5	MIAO	0.5

Defensive Statistics

TOL	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
3	Games	2	MIAO	1
20.0	Points Scored	10.0	MIAO	10.0
173.7	Passing Yards	173.0	MIAO	0.7
12.4	PYPC	10.8	MIAO	1.6
7.1	PYPA	6.2	MIAO	1.0
57.5	Completion PCT	57.1	MIAO	0.4
165.7	Rushing Yards	70.0	MIAO	95.7
4.7	RYPA	3.0	MIAO	1.8
60.0	PenaltyYards	60.0	-	0.0
1.0	Turnovers	0.5	TOL	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TOL	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
31.0	Points Scored	28.8	TOL	2.2
207.9	Passing Yards	205.6	TOL	2.3
12.1	PYPC	14.5	MIAO	2.4
7.2	PYPA	7.9	MIAO	0.7
59.7	Completion PCT	54.6	TOL	5.1
221.6	Rushing Yards	153.7	TOL	67.9
5.2	RYPA	4.2	TOL	1.0
61.6	PenaltyYards	42.6	MIAO	19.0
1.6	Turnovers	1.0	MIAO	0.6

Defensive Statistics

TOL	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
19.0	Points Scored	19.8	TOL	0.8
163.5	Passing Yards	196.3	TOL	32.8
11.2	PYPC	10.9	MIAO	0.3
6.2	PYPA	6.7	TOL	0.5
55.1	Completion PCT	61.4	TOL	6.3
142.9	Rushing Yards	153.1	TOL	10.2
4.0	RYPA	4.3	TOL	0.3
53.9	PenaltyYards	64.5	MIAO	10.6
1.4	Turnovers	1.2	TOL	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TOL	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
6	Games	6	-	0
29.8	Points Scored	25.0	TOL	4.8
231.7	Passing Yards	305.3	MIAO	73.7
11.5	PYPC	11.9	MIAO	0.4
7.3	PYPA	7.5	MIAO	0.2
63.4	Completion PCT	62.9	TOL	0.5
230.0	Rushing Yards	79.8	TOL	150.2
5.5	RYPA	2.8	TOL	2.8
50.2	PenaltyYards	45.3	MIAO	4.8
1.5	Turnovers	1.8	TOL	0.3

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 21	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Toledo Miami OH	-2 +2	31% 69%	29% 71%	47 47	79% 21%	84% 16%	-130 +110	37% 63%	41% 59%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 21	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Toledo Rockets	21	-2.0		41.5		24.7	50.4	29.2	52.3
Miami OH RedHawks	17	+2.0	47.0	40.0	-1.6	25.7	-1.0	23.2	6.0

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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