Home-2

University Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Utah ST	44	-4.5		5-6	6-5-0	7-4-0	33.2	33.2	35.5	63.7
New Mexico	41	+4.5	58.5	4-7	5-6-0	8-3-0	26.0	34.3	28.2	7.3

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Utah ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
12	Nov 18	VS Boise ST	+164	+4	63.5	10-45	L	L	U	81%	31%	59%	42%	74%	53%
11	Nov 11	VS Nevada	-650	-14.5	54.5	41-24	W	W	O	92%	98%	58%	58%	67%	59%
10	Nov 4	at San Diego ST	-135	-2.5	56.5	32-24	W	W	U	68%	52%	78%	66%	56%	51%
8	Oct 21	at San Jose ST	+154	+4	65	21-42	L	L	U	58%	40%	51%	48%	52%	40%
7	Oct 13	VS Fresno ST	+185	+5.5	56	32-37	L	W	O	30%	21%	38%	27%	81%	68%
6	Oct 7	VS Colorado ST	+124	+3	62.5	44-24	W	W	O	30%	23%	31%	20%	62%	66%
5	Sep 30	at Connecticut	-192	-4	50.5	34-33	W	L	O	36%	81%	52%	69%	38%	40%
4	Sep 23	VS James Madison	+180	+5	52.5	38-45	L	L	O	24%	21%	32%	27%	94%	66%
3	Sep 15	at Air Force	+270	+9.5	45.5	21-39	L	L	O	36%	16%	45%	46%	39%	51%
2	Sep 9	VS Idaho ST	-	-24	62	78-28	W	W	O	0%	0%	12%	68%	31%	33%
1	Sep 2	at Iowa	+1100	+24	43.5	14-24	L	W	U	9%	6%	47%	55%	27%	36%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
New Mexico			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
12	Nov 18	at Fresno ST	+900	+21.5	58.5	25-17	W	W	U	12%	6%	43%	37%	74%	60%
11	Nov 11	at Boise ST	+1600	+27.5	59.5	14-42	L	L	U	36%	7%	40%	54%	55%	77%
10	Nov 4	VS UNLV	+490	+15	57.5	14-56	L	L	O	23%	3%	10%	28%	39%	54%
9	Oct 28	at Nevada	-115	-1	50	24-34	L	L	O	78%	67%	59%	57%	54%	56%
8	Oct 21	VS Hawaii	+110	+2	59.5	42-21	W	W	O	65%	53%	23%	38%	50%	41%
7	Oct 14	VS San Jose ST	+190	+6.5	54.5	24-52	L	L	O	13%	9%	71%	40%	57%	56%
5	Sep 30	at Wyoming	+490	+14.5	40.5	26-35	L	W	O	6%	1%	21%	18%	32%	73%
4	Sep 23	at Massachusetts	+124	+3	48.5	34-31	W	W	O	38%	29%	40%	36%	37%	32%
3	Sep 16	VS New Mexico ST	-142	-2.5	52	17-27	L	L	U	95%	71%	87%	80%	35%	66%
2	Sep 9	VS Tennessee Tech	-1100	-16.5	51.5	56-10	W	W	O	63%	90%	17%	78%	85%	63%
1	Sep 2	at Texas A&M	-	+38	49.5	10-52	L	L	O	0%	0%	35%	43%	68%	82%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 5	New Mexico Lobos Utah ST Aggies	10 27	+14.5 -14.5	+470 -625	42.5	UTST	UTST	FAV	Home	Under
2021 Nov 26	Utah ST Aggies New Mexico Lobos	35 10	-17 +17	-850 +575	48.5	UTST	UTST	FAV	Road	Under
2020 Nov 26	New Mexico Lobos Utah ST Aggies	27 41	-6.5 +6.5	- +207	49	UTST	UTST	DOG	Home	Over
2019 Nov 30	Utah ST Aggies New Mexico Lobos	38 25	-12.5 +12.5	-470 +364	64.5	UTST	UTST	FAV	Road	Under
2018 Oct 27	New Mexico Lobos Utah ST Aggies	19 61	+19 -19	+639 -950	65.5	UTST	UTST	FAV	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UTST	Statistic	UNM	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
33.2	Points Scored	26.0	UTST	7.2
265.4	Passing Yards	220.4	UTST	45.0
12.5	PYPC	13.3	UNM	0.9
7.7	PYPA	7.8	UNM	0.1
62.1	Completion PCT	58.9	UTST	3.2
176.1	Rushing Yards	178.6	UNM	2.5
4.7	RYPA	5.0	UNM	0.3
64.4	PenaltyYards	83.5	UTST	19.1
2.1	Turnovers	1.4	UNM	0.7

Defensive Statistics

UTST	Statistic	UNM	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
33.2	Points Scored	34.3	UTST	1.1
217.8	Passing Yards	237.6	UTST	19.8
11.3	PYPC	14.7	UTST	3.4
6.7	PYPA	9.0	UTST	2.3
59.3	Completion PCT	61.4	UTST	2.1
186.6	Rushing Yards	161.6	UNM	25.0
4.5	RYPA	4.9	UTST	0.4
54.3	PenaltyYards	63.6	UNM	9.4
1.7	Turnovers	0.6	UTST	1.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UTST	Statistic	UNM	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
24.4	Points Scored	30.6	UNM	6.2
233.0	Passing Yards	239.6	UNM	6.6
10.7	PYPC	13.3	UNM	2.6
6.9	PYPA	8.5	UNM	1.6
64.9	Completion PCT	63.8	UTST	1.1
109.2	Rushing Yards	194.4	UNM	85.2
3.4	RYPA	5.2	UNM	1.8
56.6	PenaltyYards	88.0	UTST	31.4
1.6	Turnovers	1.2	UNM	0.4

Defensive Statistics

UTST	Statistic	UNM	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
32.4	Points Scored	33.2	UTST	0.8
183.4	Passing Yards	253.2	UTST	69.8
10.8	PYPC	15.1	UTST	4.3
7.1	PYPA	9.1	UTST	2.0
65.9	Completion PCT	60.4	UNM	5.5
204.4	Rushing Yards	152.2	UNM	52.2
4.5	RYPA	5.3	UTST	0.8
63.8	PenaltyYards	64.2	UNM	0.4
0.8	Turnovers	1.2	UNM	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UTST	Statistic	UNM	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
35.1	Points Scored	27.6	UTST	7.5
270.6	Passing Yards	229.3	UTST	41.3
13.4	PYPC	13.8	UNM	0.4
8.2	PYPA	8.1	UTST	0.1
61.4	Completion PCT	58.9	UTST	2.5
182.1	Rushing Yards	187.3	UNM	5.2
4.7	RYPA	5.2	UNM	0.5
61.7	PenaltyYards	80.4	UTST	18.7
2.2	Turnovers	1.4	UNM	0.8

Defensive Statistics

UTST	Statistic	UNM	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
34.1	Points Scored	32.5	UNM	1.6
220.0	Passing Yards	233.7	UTST	13.7
11.3	PYPC	15.2	UTST	3.9
6.8	PYPA	9.1	UTST	2.4
59.8	Completion PCT	60.2	UTST	0.3
196.4	Rushing Yards	164.3	UNM	32.1
4.7	RYPA	5.0	UTST	0.2
54.7	PenaltyYards	61.2	UNM	6.5
1.9	Turnovers	0.7	UTST	1.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UTST	Statistic	UNM	Edge	Margin
12	Games	12	-	0
32.1	Points Scored	20.7	UTST	11.4
233.5	Passing Yards	141.4	UTST	92.1
13.9	PYPC	12.1	UTST	1.8
8.3	PYPA	6.3	UTST	2.1
59.6	Completion PCT	51.7	UTST	8.0
162.7	Rushing Yards	194.6	UNM	31.9
4.5	RYPA	4.0	UTST	0.5
62.6	PenaltyYards	57.3	UNM	5.3
1.4	Turnovers	2.0	UTST	0.6

Betting Splits

Friday,November 24	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Utah ST New Mexico	-5 +5	77% 23%	60% 40%	58.5 58.5	20% 80%	41% 59%	-218 +180	84% 16%	77% 23%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Friday, November 24	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Utah ST Aggies	44	-4.5		35.0		35.5	63.7	37.9	62.5
New Mexico Lobos	41	+4.5	58.5	25.0	8.1	28.2	7.3	24.7	13.2

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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