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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Houston	13	+15.5		4-7	5-6-0	5-6-0	24.6	31.9	22.8	58.1
UCF	27	-15.5	61	5-6	5-6-0	6-5-0	33.0	26.6	35.3	-12.5

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Houston			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
12	Nov 18	VS Oklahoma ST	+200	+6.5	57	30-43	L	L	O	14%	7%	28%	19%	65%	70%
11	Nov 11	VS Cincinnati	-155	-3	53	14-24	L	L	U	64%	78%	61%	79%	57%	69%
10	Nov 4	at Baylor	+102	+1.5	58	25-24	W	W	U	45%	34%	54%	38%	64%	53%
9	Oct 28	at Kansas ST	+675	+17.5	61.5	0-41	L	L	U	13%	6%	42%	55%	76%	56%
8	Oct 21	VS Texas	+1300	+24	60.5	24-31	L	W	U	21%	3%	24%	22%	83%	71%
7	Oct 12	VS West Virginia	+124	+3	49.5	41-39	W	W	O	19%	19%	42%	27%	52%	61%
5	Sep 30	at Texas Tech	+260	+8.5	52.5	28-49	L	L	O	55%	8%	76%	48%	29%	58%
4	Sep 23	VS Sam Houston ST	-470	-11.5	37	38-7	W	W	O	88%	98%	87%	56%	71%	83%
3	Sep 16	VS TCU	+230	+7	64	13-36	L	L	U	40%	14%	45%	35%	86%	73%
2	Sep 9	at Rice	-265	-7	51	41-43	L	L	O	73%	92%	48%	61%	29%	66%
1	Sep 2	VS Texas-San Antonio	+120	+2.5	59.5	17-14	W	W	U	32%	50%	32%	37%	67%	66%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
UCF			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
12	Nov 18	at Texas Tech	+114	+2.5	58.5	23-24	L	W	U	39%	39%	33%	28%	91%	78%
11	Nov 11	VS Oklahoma ST	+114	+2.5	64	45-3	W	W	U	26%	13%	37%	20%	80%	64%
10	Nov 4	at Cincinnati	-185	-3.5	60.5	28-26	W	L	U	54%	69%	51%	61%	64%	46%
9	Oct 28	VS West Virginia	-258	-6.5	59	28-41	L	L	O	59%	78%	50%	51%	80%	73%
8	Oct 21	at Oklahoma	+600	+17	67.5	29-31	L	W	U	4%	2%	59%	14%	78%	57%
6	Oct 7	at Kansas	-130	-2	64	22-51	L	L	O	36%	25%	25%	33%	86%	70%
5	Sep 30	VS Baylor	-310	-8.5	56	35-36	L	L	O	53%	87%	69%	56%	48%	60%
4	Sep 23	at Kansas ST	+195	+6	52.5	31-44	L	L	O	18%	15%	42%	26%	52%	69%
3	Sep 16	VS Villanova	-	-27	55	48-14	W	W	O	0%	0%	71%	72%	71%	69%
2	Sep 9	at Boise ST	-180	-3.5	58	18-16	W	L	U	70%	67%	65%	64%	57%	78%
1	Aug 31	VS Kent ST	-	-35.5	53	56-6	W	W	O	0%	0%	53%	43%	54%	60%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2020 Oct 31	UCF Knights Houston Cougars	44 21	-3 +3	-157 +137	81.5	CFLA	CFLA	FAV	Road	Under
2019 Nov 2	Houston Cougars UCF Knights	29 44	+21.5 -21.5	+1011 -1900	73.5	CFLA	HOUS	DOG	Road	Under
2016 Oct 29	UCF Knights Houston Cougars	24 31	+9 -9	+260 -325	58.5	HOUS	CFLA	DOG	Road	Under
2015 Oct 24	Houston Cougars UCF Knights	59 10	-20 +20	-1200 +800	53	HOUS	HOUS	FAV	Road	Over
2014 Oct 2	UCF Knights Houston Cougars	17 12	+2.5 -2.5	+115 -135	48.5	CFLA	CFLA	DOG	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
24.6	Points Scored	33.0	USF	8.4
248.4	Passing Yards	259.7	USF	11.4
11.1	PYPC	15.1	USF	4.1
7.1	PYPA	9.3	USF	2.2
64.2	Completion PCT	61.8	HOU	2.4
121.0	Rushing Yards	234.1	USF	113.1
4.1	RYPA	5.7	USF	1.6
51.8	PenaltyYards	51.2	USF	0.6
1.3	Turnovers	1.5	HOU	0.2

Defensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
31.9	Points Scored	26.6	USF	5.4
255.6	Passing Yards	209.5	USF	46.1
11.7	PYPC	12.1	HOU	0.4
7.9	PYPA	6.9	USF	1.0
67.2	Completion PCT	57.1	USF	10.2
163.6	Rushing Yards	195.5	HOU	31.8
4.3	RYPA	5.0	HOU	0.7
48.5	PenaltyYards	41.6	HOU	6.9
1.3	Turnovers	1.3	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	USF	1
23.5	Points Scored	42.4	USF	18.9
231.5	Passing Yards	298.0	USF	66.5
10.4	PYPC	15.1	USF	4.7
6.5	PYPA	10.0	USF	3.5
62.2	Completion PCT	66.4	USF	4.2
145.0	Rushing Yards	271.4	USF	126.4
4.5	RYPA	6.2	USF	1.7
50.3	PenaltyYards	56.6	HOU	6.4
1.3	Turnovers	2.0	HOU	0.8

Defensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	HOU	1
39.3	Points Scored	20.0	USF	19.3
260.0	Passing Yards	194.2	USF	65.8
11.3	PYPC	12.8	HOU	1.5
8.3	PYPA	6.4	USF	1.9
73.6	Completion PCT	50.0	USF	23.6
159.3	Rushing Yards	134.0	USF	25.3
4.3	RYPA	3.6	USF	0.6
24.5	PenaltyYards	33.0	USF	8.5
1.0	Turnovers	1.6	USF	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.4	Points Scored	30.7	USF	5.3
249.9	Passing Yards	252.3	USF	2.4
11.1	PYPC	15.4	USF	4.3
7.1	PYPA	9.3	USF	2.2
64.1	Completion PCT	60.5	HOU	3.6
123.0	Rushing Yards	218.6	USF	95.6
4.2	RYPA	5.4	USF	1.1
54.5	PenaltyYards	49.3	USF	5.2
1.4	Turnovers	1.3	USF	0.1

Defensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
33.7	Points Scored	28.6	USF	5.1
260.2	Passing Yards	215.9	USF	44.3
11.7	PYPC	12.1	HOU	0.4
8.1	PYPA	7.2	USF	0.9
69.2	Completion PCT	59.1	USF	10.0
159.2	Rushing Yards	205.5	HOU	46.3
4.1	RYPA	5.2	HOU	1.1
46.9	PenaltyYards	42.7	HOU	4.2
1.1	Turnovers	1.3	USF	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
31.1	Points Scored	29.7	HOU	1.4
269.6	Passing Yards	237.3	HOU	32.3
11.6	PYPC	13.8	USF	2.2
6.9	PYPA	8.6	USF	1.7
59.6	Completion PCT	62.3	USF	2.7
177.5	Rushing Yards	181.7	USF	4.2
5.0	RYPA	4.3	HOU	0.8
63.0	PenaltyYards	48.5	USF	14.5
2.0	Turnovers	2.2	HOU	0.2

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 25	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Houston UCF	+15.5 -15.5	23% 77%	37% 63%	61.5 61.5	88% 12%	67% 33%	+470 -650	7% 93%	4% 96%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 25	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Houston Cougars	13	+15.5		40.5		22.8	58.1	26.3	61.7
UCF Knights	27	-15.5	61.0	50.5	-12.7	35.3	-12.5	35.4	-9.1

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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