Home-2

UCF at

Nippert Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
UCF	28	-3.5		3-5	3-5-0	6-2-0	33.4	29.9	30.9	58.8
Cincinnati	26	+3.5	60.5	2-6	2-6-0	6-2-0	25.3	28.4	28	2.9

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
UCF			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
9	Oct 28	VS West Virginia	-258	-6.5	59	28-41	L	L	O	59%	78%	50%	51%	80%	73%
8	Oct 21	at Oklahoma	+600	+17	67.5	29-31	L	W	U	4%	2%	59%	14%	78%	57%
6	Oct 7	at Kansas	-130	-2	64	22-51	L	L	O	36%	25%	25%	33%	86%	70%
5	Sep 30	VS Baylor	-310	-8.5	56	35-36	L	L	O	53%	87%	69%	56%	48%	60%
4	Sep 23	at Kansas ST	+195	+6	52.5	31-44	L	L	O	18%	15%	42%	26%	52%	69%
3	Sep 16	VS Villanova	-	-27	55	48-14	W	W	O	0%	0%	71%	72%	71%	69%
2	Sep 9	at Boise ST	-180	-3.5	58	18-16	W	L	U	70%	67%	65%	64%	57%	78%
1	Aug 31	VS Kent ST	-	-35.5	53	56-6	W	W	O	0%	0%	53%	43%	54%	60%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Cincinnati			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
9	Oct 28	at Oklahoma ST	+240	+7.5	53	13-45	L	L	O	16%	5%	47%	32%	66%	65%
8	Oct 21	VS Baylor	-135	-2.5	50.5	29-32	L	L	O	65%	62%	52%	57%	57%	67%
7	Oct 14	VS Iowa ST	-180	-4	42.5	10-30	L	L	U	76%	75%	50%	52%	42%	68%
5	Sep 29	at BYU	-105	+1	47	27-35	L	L	O	53%	35%	43%	33%	36%	70%
4	Sep 23	VS Oklahoma	+390	+13.5	57.5	6-20	L	L	U	7%	4%	16%	21%	77%	83%
3	Sep 16	VS Miami OH	-625	-14	44.5	24-31	L	L	O	92%	98%	53%	77%	70%	86%
2	Sep 9	at Pittsburgh	+215	+6.5	45	27-21	W	W	O	56%	28%	47%	52%	68%	85%
1	Sep 2	VS E Kentucky	-2100	-21.5	57.5	66-13	W	W	O	86%	96%	70%	82%	52%	50%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 29	Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Knights	21 25	+2 -2	+105 -125	55.5	CFLA	CFLA	FAV	Home	Under
2021 Oct 16	UCF Knights Cincinnati Bearcats	21 56	+21.5 -21.5	+1000 -1500	56	CINC	CINC	FAV	HOME	Over
2020 Nov 21	Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Knights	36 33	-4 +4	- +148	65.5	CINC	CFLA	DOG	Home	Over
2019 Oct 4	UCF Knights Cincinnati Bearcats	24 27	-3.5 +3.5	-164 +142	63.5	CINC	CINC	DOG	HOME	Under
2018 Nov 17	Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Knights	13 38	+6.5 -6.5	+215 -260	60	CFLA	CFLA	FAV	Home	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CIN	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
33.4	Points Scored	25.3	USF	8.1
268.0	Passing Yards	221.9	USF	46.1
14.5	PYPC	11.8	USF	2.7
9.2	PYPA	7.0	USF	2.2
63.8	Completion PCT	59.5	USF	4.3
227.0	Rushing Yards	222.6	USF	4.4
5.6	RYPA	5.1	USF	0.6
54.9	PenaltyYards	55.6	USF	0.7
1.8	Turnovers	1.6	CIN	0.1

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CIN	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
29.9	Points Scored	28.4	CIN	1.5
194.5	Passing Yards	247.9	USF	53.4
11.9	PYPC	15.0	USF	3.1
6.7	PYPA	8.2	USF	1.5
56.5	Completion PCT	54.8	CIN	1.7
207.5	Rushing Yards	127.5	CIN	80.0
5.0	RYPA	4.0	CIN	1.0
34.9	PenaltyYards	37.8	CIN	2.9
0.9	Turnovers	1.1	CIN	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CIN	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	CIN	1
25.0	Points Scored	27.0	CIN	2.0
238.3	Passing Yards	239.8	CIN	1.6
15.6	PYPC	12.4	USF	3.3
9.3	PYPA	7.4	USF	2.0
59.8	Completion PCT	59.5	USF	0.3
188.0	Rushing Yards	209.2	CIN	21.2
4.9	RYPA	4.9	CIN	0.0
49.0	PenaltyYards	48.4	CIN	0.6
1.3	Turnovers	1.6	USF	0.4

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CIN	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	USF	1
35.5	Points Scored	25.2	CIN	10.3
202.5	Passing Yards	258.6	USF	56.1
11.0	PYPC	14.2	USF	3.3
6.8	PYPA	8.6	USF	1.8
62.2	Completion PCT	60.7	CIN	1.5
260.5	Rushing Yards	110.4	CIN	150.1
5.9	RYPA	3.4	CIN	2.5
39.8	PenaltyYards	42.4	CIN	2.7
0.8	Turnovers	1.2	CIN	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CIN	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
30.8	Points Scored	23.3	USF	7.5
260.7	Passing Yards	196.0	USF	64.7
13.4	PYPC	11.7	USF	1.7
8.3	PYPA	6.7	USF	1.6
61.6	Completion PCT	57.0	USF	4.6
208.9	Rushing Yards	207.1	USF	1.8
5.2	RYPA	4.8	USF	0.4
47.6	PenaltyYards	52.9	USF	5.3
1.6	Turnovers	1.6	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CIN	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
31.4	Points Scored	27.8	CIN	3.6
212.3	Passing Yards	227.7	USF	15.4
12.5	PYPC	14.4	USF	1.9
7.2	PYPA	8.0	USF	0.7
57.8	Completion PCT	55.2	CIN	2.6
209.1	Rushing Yards	152.8	CIN	56.3
5.2	RYPA	4.3	CIN	0.8
30.9	PenaltyYards	33.2	CIN	2.3
1.0	Turnovers	1.3	CIN	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	CIN	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
27.9	Points Scored	28.9	CIN	1.0
227.6	Passing Yards	254.9	CIN	27.3
12.0	PYPC	13.1	CIN	1.1
7.1	PYPA	7.5	CIN	0.4
59.6	Completion PCT	57.4	USF	2.3
162.1	Rushing Yards	177.0	CIN	14.9
4.2	RYPA	4.6	CIN	0.4
45.5	PenaltyYards	62.1	USF	16.6
1.5	Turnovers	1.4	CIN	0.1

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
UCF Cincinnati	-3.5 +3.5	51% 49%	61% 39%	60.5 60.5	64% 36%	46% 54%	-185 +154	54% 46%	69% 31%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 4	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
UCF Knights	28	-3.5		47.5		30.9	58.8	31.4	60.6
Cincinnati Bearcats	26	+3.5	60.5	41.0	3.2	28.0	2.9	29.3	2.1

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

Active Betting Splits