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Carter-Finley Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Louisville	13	-3		4-0	2-2-0	2-2-0	43.0	19.0	28.7	55.9
NC State	10	+3	56.5	3-1	0-4-0	2-2-0	29.3	21.8	27.3	1.4

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Louisville			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 23	VS Boston College	-550	-14	53.5	56-28	W	W	O	79%	91%	36%	42%	70%	74%
3	Sep 16	(n) Indiana	-360	-10	50.5	21-14	W	L	U	63%	85%	23%	34%	54%	63%
2	Sep 7	VS Murray ST	-	-44	56.5	56-0	W	W	U	0%	0%	41%	38%	77%	80%
1	Sep 1	(n) Georgia Tech	-310	-7.5	49.5	39-34	W	L	O	79%	84%	50%	62%	46%	49%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
NC State			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 22	at Virginia	-325	-8	47	24-21	W	L	U	88%	92%	69%	75%	67%	74%
3	Sep 16	VS VMI	-	-43.5	51.5	45-7	W	L	O	0%	0%	21%	32%	93%	71%
2	Sep 9	VS Notre Dame	+225	+7	49.5	24-45	L	L	O	6%	3%	28%	14%	55%	75%
1	Aug 31	at Connecticut	-700	-14.5	48	24-14	W	L	U	75%	86%	40%	50%	51%	70%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 19	NC State Wolfpack Louisville Cardinals	10 25	+4 -4	+145 -170	43	LOUI	LOUI	FAV	Home	Under
2021 Oct 30	Louisville Cardinals NC State Wolfpack	13 28	+6 -6	+200 -240	57	NCST	NCST	FAV	HOME	Under
2019 Nov 16	Louisville Cardinals NC State Wolfpack	34 20	-4 +4	-185 +160	51.5	LOUI	LOUI	FAV	Road	Over
2018 Nov 17	NC State Wolfpack Louisville Cardinals	52 10	-15 +15	-600 +447	66.5	NCST	NCST	FAV	Road	Under
2017 Oct 5	Louisville Cardinals NC State Wolfpack	25 39	-3 +3	-155 +135	67	NCST	NCST	DOG	HOME	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

LOU	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
43.0	Points Scored	29.3	LOU	13.8
304.8	Passing Yards	214.8	LOU	90.0
16.5	PYPC	10.6	LOU	5.9
11.2	PYPA	6.3	LOU	4.9
67.9	Completion PCT	59.1	LOU	8.8
237.3	Rushing Yards	166.5	LOU	70.8
6.0	RYPA	4.2	LOU	1.8
50.8	PenaltyYards	45.5	NCST	5.3
1.0	Turnovers	1.0	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

LOU	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
19.0	Points Scored	21.8	LOU	2.8
244.8	Passing Yards	211.5	NCST	33.3
13.6	PYPC	13.9	LOU	0.3
7.6	PYPA	8.1	LOU	0.5
55.8	Completion PCT	58.1	LOU	2.3
114.8	Rushing Yards	114.5	NCST	0.3
3.6	RYPA	3.7	LOU	0.1
41.5	PenaltyYards	60.5	NCST	19.0
1.5	Turnovers	1.3	LOU	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

LOU	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	NCST	2
0.0	Points Scored	34.5	NCST	34.5
0.0	Passing Yards	262.0	NCST	262.0
0.0	PYPC	10.7	NCST	10.7
0.0	PYPA	6.6	NCST	6.6
0.0	Completion PCT	61.3	NCST	61.3
0.0	Rushing Yards	159.0	NCST	159.0
0.0	RYPA	4.2	NCST	4.2
0.0	PenaltyYards	57.5	LOU	57.5
0.0	Turnovers	1.5	LOU	1.5

Defensive Statistics

LOU	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	LOU	2
0.0	Points Scored	26.0	LOU	26.0
0.0	Passing Yards	231.0	LOU	231.0
0.0	PYPC	15.9	LOU	15.9
0.0	PYPA	9.6	LOU	9.6
0.0	Completion PCT	60.4	LOU	60.4
0.0	Rushing Yards	92.5	LOU	92.5
0.0	RYPA	3.2	LOU	3.2
0.0	PenaltyYards	56.0	NCST	56.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	NCST	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

LOU	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
33.2	Points Scored	24.1	LOU	9.1
232.1	Passing Yards	225.4	LOU	6.7
13.6	PYPC	11.1	LOU	2.5
8.7	PYPA	6.2	LOU	2.5
63.8	Completion PCT	56.2	LOU	7.6
219.7	Rushing Yards	120.4	LOU	99.3
5.6	RYPA	3.4	LOU	2.1
57.3	PenaltyYards	49.2	NCST	8.1
1.5	Turnovers	1.2	NCST	0.3

Defensive Statistics

LOU	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
18.1	Points Scored	21.8	LOU	3.7
201.7	Passing Yards	246.8	LOU	45.1
12.8	PYPC	12.9	LOU	0.2
6.9	PYPA	7.4	LOU	0.5
54.1	Completion PCT	57.0	LOU	2.9
123.0	Rushing Yards	91.0	NCST	32.0
3.4	RYPA	2.9	NCST	0.5
43.2	PenaltyYards	66.0	NCST	22.8
2.0	Turnovers	1.4	LOU	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

LOU	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.4	Points Scored	23.4	LOU	3.0
235.3	Passing Yards	265.0	NCST	29.7
13.7	PYPC	12.4	LOU	1.2
7.2	PYPA	7.2	-	0.0
52.9	Completion PCT	58.2	NCST	5.3
175.0	Rushing Yards	90.9	LOU	84.1
4.5	RYPA	3.0	LOU	1.5
62.1	PenaltyYards	42.9	NCST	19.2
1.0	Turnovers	1.9	LOU	0.9

Betting Splits

Friday,September 29	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Louisville North Carolina ST	-3 +3	82% 18%	74% 26%	56.5 56.5	66% 34%	63% 37%	-166 +140	74% 26%	77% 23%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Friday, September 29	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Louisville Cardinals	13	-3.0		51.0		28.7	55.9	26.8	58.3
NC State Wolfpack	10	+3.0	56.5	45.0	2.9	27.3	1.4	31.5	-4.7

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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