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Wallace Wade Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
NC State	3	+4		4-2	1-4-1	3-3-0	29.2	23.5	19.3	47.6
Duke (19)	24	-4	43	4-1	3-2-0	2-2-1	32.6	11.2	28.3	-9

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
NC State			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 7	VS Marshall	-258	-6.5	44.5	48-41	W	W	O	69%	85%	57%	55%	55%	77%
5	Sep 29	VS Louisville	+140	+3	56.5	10-13	L	P	U	26%	23%	18%	26%	66%	63%
4	Sep 22	at Virginia	-325	-8	47	24-21	W	L	U	88%	92%	69%	75%	67%	74%
3	Sep 16	VS VMI	-	-43.5	51.5	45-7	W	L	O	0%	0%	21%	32%	93%	71%
2	Sep 9	VS Notre Dame	+225	+7	49.5	24-45	L	L	O	6%	3%	28%	14%	55%	75%
1	Aug 31	at Connecticut	-700	-14.5	48	24-14	W	L	U	75%	86%	40%	50%	51%	70%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Duke			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 30	VS Notre Dame	+170	+5.5	52.5	14-21	L	L	U	22%	17%	24%	26%	31%	41%
4	Sep 23	at Connecticut	-1800	-22.5	45.5	41-7	W	W	O	88%	96%	59%	66%	64%	79%
3	Sep 16	VS Northwestern	-800	-17	48	38-14	W	W	O	94%	97%	75%	82%	52%	66%
2	Sep 9	VS Lafayette	-	-42.5	49	42-7	W	L	P	0%	0%	30%	47%	81%	88%
1	Sep 4	VS Clemson	+350	+12	54.5	28-7	W	W	U	15%	13%	28%	24%	56%	60%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2020 Oct 17	Duke Blue Devils NC State Wolfpack	20 31	+3.5 -3.5	+144 -165	59.5	NCST	NCST	FAV	Home	Under
2013 Nov 9	NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils	20 38	+11 -11	+350 -440	56.5	DUKE	DUKE	FAV	HOME	Over
2009 Oct 10	Duke Blue Devils NC State Wolfpack	49 28	+15.5 -15.5	+480 -605	54	DUKE	DUKE	DOG	Road	Over
2008 Nov 8	NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils	27 17	+4 -4	+165 -175	48.5	NCST	NCST	DOG	Road	Under
2003 Oct 25	NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils	28 21	-21 +21	- -	55	NCST	DUKE	DOG	HOME	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	DUKE	Edge	Margin
6	Games	5	NCST	1
29.2	Points Scored	32.6	DUKE	3.4
206.0	Passing Yards	206.0	-	0.0
11.1	PYPC	11.8	DUKE	0.7
6.4	PYPA	7.6	DUKE	1.2
57.2	Completion PCT	64.0	DUKE	6.8
148.5	Rushing Yards	198.2	DUKE	49.7
4.0	RYPA	5.5	DUKE	1.4
54.2	PenaltyYards	34.4	DUKE	19.8
1.7	Turnovers	1.0	DUKE	0.7

Defensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	DUKE	Edge	Margin
6	Games	5	DUKE	1
23.5	Points Scored	11.2	DUKE	12.3
241.2	Passing Yards	159.0	DUKE	82.2
13.0	PYPC	9.2	DUKE	3.8
7.5	PYPA	5.0	DUKE	2.6
57.8	Completion PCT	53.8	DUKE	4.1
97.0	Rushing Yards	138.2	NCST	41.2
3.0	RYPA	4.0	NCST	1.0
62.8	PenaltyYards	41.2	NCST	21.6
1.8	Turnovers	1.6	NCST	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	DUKE	Edge	Margin
2	Games	4	DUKE	2
24.0	Points Scored	30.5	DUKE	6.5
167.5	Passing Yards	195.5	DUKE	28.0
10.5	PYPC	12.2	DUKE	1.8
5.9	PYPA	7.7	DUKE	1.8
56.1	Completion PCT	62.8	DUKE	6.6
174.0	Rushing Yards	229.3	DUKE	55.3
4.2	RYPA	5.9	DUKE	1.7
33.5	PenaltyYards	28.3	DUKE	5.3
0.5	Turnovers	1.3	NCST	0.8

Defensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	DUKE	Edge	Margin
2	Games	4	NCST	2
17.5	Points Scored	12.3	DUKE	5.3
192.0	Passing Yards	170.3	DUKE	21.8
12.0	PYPC	9.3	DUKE	2.7
6.7	PYPA	5.2	DUKE	1.6
56.1	Completion PCT	55.3	DUKE	0.8
136.5	Rushing Yards	150.5	NCST	14.0
4.1	RYPA	4.5	NCST	0.4
65.0	PenaltyYards	39.3	NCST	25.8
1.5	Turnovers	1.5	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	DUKE	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
24.7	Points Scored	31.5	DUKE	6.8
212.5	Passing Yards	230.4	DUKE	17.9
11.2	PYPC	11.9	DUKE	0.7
6.1	PYPA	7.5	DUKE	1.4
54.4	Completion PCT	63.4	DUKE	9.0
125.4	Rushing Yards	174.4	DUKE	49.0
3.7	RYPA	4.8	DUKE	1.1
53.2	PenaltyYards	34.7	DUKE	18.5
1.8	Turnovers	0.9	DUKE	0.9

Defensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	DUKE	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
23.0	Points Scored	16.6	DUKE	6.4
242.9	Passing Yards	203.7	DUKE	39.2
12.1	PYPC	10.6	DUKE	1.5
6.9	PYPA	6.0	DUKE	0.9
57.1	Completion PCT	56.1	DUKE	1.0
96.7	Rushing Yards	122.4	NCST	25.7
2.9	RYPA	3.7	NCST	0.9
65.2	PenaltyYards	39.1	NCST	26.1
1.7	Turnovers	1.4	NCST	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	DUKE	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
31.0	Points Scored	28.6	NCST	2.4
280.6	Passing Yards	299.5	DUKE	18.9
14.4	PYPC	10.9	NCST	3.5
8.5	PYPA	7.1	NCST	1.5
59.3	Completion PCT	64.7	DUKE	5.4
116.5	Rushing Yards	120.1	DUKE	3.6
4.0	RYPA	3.2	NCST	0.8
57.0	PenaltyYards	44.6	DUKE	12.4
1.9	Turnovers	1.8	DUKE	0.1

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 14	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
North Carolina ST Duke	+4 -4	30% 70%	16% 84%	43 43	68% 32%	74% 26%	+150 -180	11% 89%	6% 94%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 14	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
NC State Wolfpack	3	+4.0		44.5		19.3	47.6	22.2	49.8
Duke Blue Devils	24	-4.0	43.0	54.0	-8.3	28.3	-9.0	27.6	-5.4

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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