Home-2

Hanson Field

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Missouri ST	48	-17.5		1-4	2-3-0	3-2-0	27.4	34.2	38.5	60
W Illinois	7	+17.5	57.5	0-5	2-3-0	3-2-0	21.2	44.2	21.5	17

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Missouri ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 7	VS N Dakota ST	-	+14.5	56.5	10-38	L	L	U	0%	0%	59%	24%	100%	100%
5	Sep 30	at S Illinois	-	+12.5	57.5	20-33	L	L	U	0%	0%	4%	28%	0%	0%
4	Sep 23	VS Utah Tech	-	-13	65.5	59-14	W	W	O	0%	0%	1%	59%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	at Tennessee-Martin	-	-1.5	55.5	31-38	L	L	O	0%	0%	96%	88%	0%	0%
1	Sep 1	at Kansas	+3000	+32	60	17-48	L	W	O	17%	15%	22%	36%	79%	55%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
W Illinois			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 7	at N Dakota	-	+27.5	64	10-49	L	L	U	0%	0%	2%	10%	100%	100%
4	Sep 23	at S Utah	-	+17.5	58.5	17-37	L	L	U	0%	0%	0%	28%	100%	100%
3	Sep 16	VS Lindenwood	-	+6.5	60.5	40-43	L	W	O	0%	0%	96%	92%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	VS Illinois ST	-	+18.5	50.5	18-34	L	W	O	0%	0%	0%	24%	100%	100%
1	Sep 2	at New Mexico ST	+950	+21	55	21-58	L	L	O	21%	9%	29%	31%	63%	57%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 29	W Illinois Missouri ST	14 64	+17 -17	+600 -850	56.5	MOST	MOST	FAV	Home	Over
2019 Oct 5	Missouri ST W Illinois	37 31	+2.5 -2.5	- -	47.5	MOST	MOST	DOG	Road	Over
2018 Oct 20	W Illinois Missouri ST	31 14	- -	- -	-	WILL	-	-	-	-
2017 Oct 14	Missouri ST W Illinois	30 49	- -	- -	-	WILL	-	-	-	-
2016 Oct 15	W Illinois Missouri ST	38 35	- -	- -	-	WILL	-	-	-	-

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MOST	Statistic	WILL	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
27.4	Points Scored	21.2	MOST	6.2
316.2	Passing Yards	252.2	MOST	64.0
13.9	PYPC	11.0	MOST	2.9
8.7	PYPA	6.6	MOST	2.1
63.0	Completion PCT	60.5	MOST	2.5
101.6	Rushing Yards	30.4	MOST	71.2
3.6	RYPA	1.1	MOST	2.5
52.2	PenaltyYards	53.4	MOST	1.2
2.2	Turnovers	1.0	WILL	1.2

Defensive Statistics

MOST	Statistic	WILL	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
34.2	Points Scored	44.2	MOST	10.0
223.4	Passing Yards	262.8	MOST	39.4
11.4	PYPC	13.7	MOST	2.3
6.8	PYPA	10.0	MOST	3.1
59.8	Completion PCT	72.7	MOST	13.0
231.4	Rushing Yards	210.0	WILL	21.4
6.8	RYPA	6.0	WILL	0.8
57.4	PenaltyYards	76.2	WILL	18.8
1.0	Turnovers	1.2	WILL	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MOST	Statistic	WILL	Edge	Margin
3	Games	2	MOST	1
22.7	Points Scored	29.0	WILL	6.3
283.3	Passing Yards	298.5	WILL	15.2
13.1	PYPC	12.2	MOST	0.9
8.0	PYPA	7.2	MOST	0.8
61.3	Completion PCT	59.0	MOST	2.3
72.0	Rushing Yards	41.5	MOST	30.5
2.4	RYPA	1.2	MOST	1.2
37.3	PenaltyYards	31.0	WILL	6.3
1.7	Turnovers	0.0	WILL	1.7

Defensive Statistics

MOST	Statistic	WILL	Edge	Margin
3	Games	2	WILL	1
39.7	Points Scored	38.5	WILL	1.2
222.7	Passing Yards	227.5	MOST	4.8
10.8	PYPC	13.4	MOST	2.6
7.0	PYPA	9.5	MOST	2.5
64.6	Completion PCT	70.8	MOST	6.3
257.3	Rushing Yards	230.0	WILL	27.3
7.3	RYPA	6.5	WILL	0.8
45.3	PenaltyYards	67.5	WILL	22.2
0.3	Turnovers	2.0	WILL	1.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MOST	Statistic	WILL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.3	Points Scored	17.7	MOST	10.6
272.5	Passing Yards	208.1	MOST	64.4
13.1	PYPC	11.1	MOST	2.0
8.1	PYPA	6.1	MOST	2.0
61.7	Completion PCT	55.0	MOST	6.7
125.9	Rushing Yards	70.0	MOST	55.9
4.0	RYPA	2.2	MOST	1.7
54.2	PenaltyYards	42.1	WILL	12.1
1.6	Turnovers	1.6	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

MOST	Statistic	WILL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
27.5	Points Scored	41.0	MOST	13.5
214.0	Passing Yards	220.9	MOST	6.9
12.2	PYPC	13.0	MOST	0.8
6.8	PYPA	9.0	MOST	2.2
55.7	Completion PCT	69.1	MOST	13.4
187.6	Rushing Yards	231.5	MOST	43.9
5.7	RYPA	5.6	WILL	0.1
54.4	PenaltyYards	63.7	WILL	9.3
1.2	Turnovers	1.1	MOST	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MOST	Statistic	WILL	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
36.0	Points Scored	32.6	MOST	3.4
279.4	Passing Yards	264.6	MOST	14.8
12.3	PYPC	14.2	WILL	2.0
7.5	PYPA	7.8	WILL	0.4
61.0	Completion PCT	55.0	MOST	5.9
143.4	Rushing Yards	159.8	WILL	16.4
4.2	RYPA	4.1	MOST	0.1
64.2	PenaltyYards	55.6	WILL	8.6
1.4	Turnovers	1.8	MOST	0.4

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 14	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Missouri ST Western Illinois	-17.5 +17.5	54% 46%	63% 37%	- 57.5	0% 100%	0% 100%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 14	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Missouri ST	48	-17.5		21.5		38.5	60.0	38.1	58.7
W Illinois	7	+17.5	57.5	1.0	18.1	21.5	17.0	20.6	17.5

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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