Home-2

Williams Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Middle Tenn ST	35	+16		2-5	2-5-0	3-3-1	22.1	31.9	22.7	54.5
Liberty	42	-16	56	6-0	5-1-0	2-4-0	35.3	17.2	31.8	-9.1

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Middle Tenn ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 10	VS Louisiana Tech	-155	-3	54	31-23	W	W	P	50%	43%	49%	48%	62%	68%
6	Oct 4	VS Jacksonville ST	-142	-2.5	52	30-45	L	L	O	64%	48%	59%	51%	34%	36%
5	Sep 28	at W Kentucky	+220	+6.5	61.5	10-31	L	L	U	12%	10%	19%	28%	61%	52%
4	Sep 23	VS Colorado ST	-192	-4	50	23-31	L	L	O	25%	29%	61%	39%	61%	76%
3	Sep 16	VS Murray ST	-	-33	49.5	35-14	W	L	U	0%	0%	51%	36%	92%	79%
2	Sep 9	at Missouri	+900	+21	47.5	19-23	L	W	U	16%	5%	27%	26%	81%	77%
1	Sep 2	at Alabama	-	+39.5	52	7-56	L	L	O	0%	0%	11%	9%	90%	95%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Liberty			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 10	at Jacksonville ST	-278	-7	60	31-13	W	W	U	64%	79%	70%	64%	71%	51%
6	Oct 5	VS Sam Houston ST	-1450	-21.5	46.5	21-16	W	L	U	91%	93%	84%	77%	70%	79%
4	Sep 23	at Florida Intl	-380	-10	54.5	38-6	W	W	U	63%	93%	52%	66%	87%	84%
3	Sep 16	at Buffalo	-155	-3	54	55-27	W	W	O	46%	67%	42%	65%	65%	70%
2	Sep 9	VS New Mexico ST	-380	-9.5	54.5	33-17	W	W	U	87%	95%	54%	70%	26%	71%
1	Sep 2	VS Bowling Green	-305	-7.5	48.5	34-24	W	W	O	81%	89%	12%	65%	42%	63%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2021 Oct 9	Middle Tenn ST Blue Raiders Liberty Flames	13 41	+20 -20	+800 -1250	59	LIBR	LIBR	FAV	HOME	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
7	Games	6	MTENN	1
22.1	Points Scored	35.3	LIBR	13.2
267.3	Passing Yards	225.5	MTENN	41.8
10.3	PYPC	17.8	LIBR	7.5
7.1	PYPA	10.0	LIBR	2.9
68.9	Completion PCT	56.3	MTENN	12.6
121.7	Rushing Yards	253.5	LIBR	131.8
3.7	RYPA	5.5	LIBR	1.7
65.6	PenaltyYards	69.3	MTENN	3.8
1.7	Turnovers	1.2	LIBR	0.5

Defensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
7	Games	6	LIBR	1
31.9	Points Scored	17.2	LIBR	14.7
263.0	Passing Yards	194.7	LIBR	68.3
11.4	PYPC	11.0	LIBR	0.4
7.4	PYPA	5.7	LIBR	1.7
64.7	Completion PCT	51.7	LIBR	13.0
135.6	Rushing Yards	121.0	LIBR	14.6
3.9	RYPA	4.1	MTENN	0.1
50.7	PenaltyYards	57.0	LIBR	6.3
1.0	Turnovers	2.5	LIBR	1.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
12.0	Points Scored	29.3	LIBR	17.3
199.7	Passing Yards	225.3	LIBR	25.7
8.2	PYPC	18.3	LIBR	10.1
5.2	PYPA	10.6	LIBR	5.4
62.9	Completion PCT	57.8	MTENN	5.1
90.0	Rushing Yards	229.0	LIBR	139.0
3.3	RYPA	4.8	LIBR	1.5
55.3	PenaltyYards	70.7	MTENN	15.3
1.7	Turnovers	1.0	LIBR	0.7

Defensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
36.7	Points Scored	19.0	LIBR	17.7
242.3	Passing Yards	187.0	LIBR	55.3
11.9	PYPC	10.8	LIBR	1.1
7.7	PYPA	5.7	LIBR	2.0
64.2	Completion PCT	52.5	LIBR	11.7
154.7	Rushing Yards	145.0	LIBR	9.7
4.1	RYPA	5.7	MTENN	1.6
45.7	PenaltyYards	53.0	LIBR	7.3
0.3	Turnovers	3.0	LIBR	2.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.2	Points Scored	30.0	LIBR	3.8
283.4	Passing Yards	213.5	MTENN	69.9
10.2	PYPC	13.6	LIBR	3.4
7.0	PYPA	8.0	LIBR	0.9
68.7	Completion PCT	58.6	MTENN	10.2
112.1	Rushing Yards	211.3	LIBR	99.2
3.4	RYPA	5.2	LIBR	1.9
61.9	PenaltyYards	63.9	MTENN	2.0
1.4	Turnovers	1.5	MTENN	0.1

Defensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.5	Points Scored	23.2	LIBR	6.3
288.9	Passing Yards	182.3	LIBR	106.6
12.7	PYPC	10.7	LIBR	2.0
7.6	PYPA	6.2	LIBR	1.4
59.7	Completion PCT	57.4	LIBR	2.3
111.8	Rushing Yards	149.7	MTENN	37.9
3.4	RYPA	4.0	MTENN	0.6
53.2	PenaltyYards	54.3	LIBR	1.1
1.8	Turnovers	1.9	LIBR	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
13.0	Points Scored	41.0	LIBR	28.0
230.0	Passing Yards	222.0	MTENN	8.0
10.5	PYPC	13.1	LIBR	2.6
5.5	PYPA	7.4	LIBR	1.9
52.4	Completion PCT	56.7	LIBR	4.3
35.0	Rushing Yards	227.0	LIBR	192.0
1.7	RYPA	5.4	LIBR	3.7
37.0	PenaltyYards	62.0	MTENN	25.0
2.0	Turnovers	3.0	MTENN	1.0

Betting Splits

Tuesday,October 17	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Middle Tennessee Liberty	+16 -16	26% 74%	24% 76%	56 56	57% 43%	55% 45%	+525 -750	14% 86%	10% 90%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Tuesday, October 17	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Middle Tenn ST Blue Raiders	35	+16.0		30.0		22.7	54.5	21.7	54.8
Liberty Flames	42	-16.0	56.0	43.0	-16.4	31.8	-9.1	33.1	-11.4

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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