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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
W Illinois	7	+35		0-6	2-4-0	3-3-0	18.8	44.8	7.5	57.2
N Dakota ST	52	-35	58	4-2	4-2-0	3-3-0	34.8	21.8	49.6	-42.1

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
W Illinois			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	VS Missouri ST	-	+17.5	57.5	7-48	L	L	U	0%	0%	46%	37%	0%	0%
6	Oct 7	at N Dakota	-	+27.5	64	10-49	L	L	U	0%	0%	2%	10%	100%	100%
4	Sep 23	at S Utah	-	+17.5	58.5	17-37	L	L	U	0%	0%	0%	28%	100%	100%
3	Sep 16	VS Lindenwood	-	+6.5	60.5	40-43	L	W	O	0%	0%	96%	92%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	VS Illinois ST	-	+18.5	50.5	18-34	L	W	O	0%	0%	0%	24%	100%	100%
1	Sep 2	at New Mexico ST	+950	+21	55	21-58	L	L	O	21%	9%	29%	31%	63%	57%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
N Dakota ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	at N Dakota	-	-6.5	59.5	24-49	L	L	O	0%	0%	51%	69%	89%	79%
6	Oct 7	at Missouri ST	-	-14.5	56.5	38-10	W	W	U	0%	0%	41%	76%	100%	100%
5	Sep 30	VS S Dakota	-	-19	50	19-24	L	L	U	0%	0%	2%	61%	43%	56%
3	Sep 16	VS C Arkansas	-	-17.5	54.5	49-31	W	W	O	0%	0%	5%	76%	100%	100%
2	Sep 9	VS Maine	-	-35.5	50.5	44-7	W	W	O	0%	0%	95%	80%	100%	100%
1	Sep 2	(n) E Washington	-	-21.5	58.5	35-10	W	W	U	0%	0%	100%	86%	98%	67%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 5	N Dakota ST W Illinois	56 17	-29.5 +29.5	- -	46.5	NDST	NDST	FAV	Road	Over
2019 Nov 9	W Illinois N Dakota ST	21 57	+42.5 -42.5	- -	58.5	NDST	WILL	DOG	Road	Over
2018 Oct 13	N Dakota ST W Illinois	34 7	- -	- -	-	NDST	-	-	-	-
2017 Oct 21	W Illinois N Dakota ST	12 24	- -	- -	-	NDST	-	-	-	-
2016 Oct 22	N Dakota ST W Illinois	21 13	- -	- -	-	NDST	-	-	-	-

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDST	Edge	Margin
6	Games	6	-	0
18.8	Points Scored	34.8	NDST	16.0
245.7	Passing Yards	210.5	WILL	35.2
10.7	PYPC	12.0	NDST	1.4
6.6	PYPA	8.9	NDST	2.3
61.9	Completion PCT	73.9	NDST	12.1
34.5	Rushing Yards	238.8	NDST	204.3
1.2	RYPA	5.9	NDST	4.7
54.5	PenaltyYards	58.0	WILL	3.5
1.5	Turnovers	0.3	NDST	1.2

Defensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDST	Edge	Margin
6	Games	6	-	0
44.8	Points Scored	21.8	NDST	23.0
255.2	Passing Yards	190.5	NDST	64.7
13.6	PYPC	10.7	NDST	2.9
9.8	PYPA	6.8	NDST	3.0
72.4	Completion PCT	64.1	NDST	8.4
208.8	Rushing Yards	132.8	NDST	76.0
6.1	RYPA	4.8	NDST	1.2
76.0	PenaltyYards	41.7	WILL	34.3
1.0	Turnovers	1.8	NDST	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDST	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
16.0	Points Scored	37.3	NDST	21.3
221.3	Passing Yards	199.0	WILL	22.3
10.1	PYPC	10.9	NDST	0.8
6.2	PYPA	8.4	NDST	2.2
61.7	Completion PCT	77.5	NDST	15.8
23.0	Rushing Yards	229.3	NDST	206.3
0.9	RYPA	5.4	NDST	4.5
68.3	PenaltyYards	72.3	WILL	4.0
1.7	Turnovers	0.3	NDST	1.3

Defensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDST	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
48.0	Points Scored	20.7	NDST	27.3
286.3	Passing Yards	165.0	NDST	121.3
13.9	PYPC	9.9	NDST	4.0
10.2	PYPA	6.9	NDST	3.4
73.8	Completion PCT	69.4	NDST	4.4
196.7	Rushing Yards	142.7	NDST	54.0
5.6	RYPA	5.5	NDST	0.1
82.0	PenaltyYards	50.0	WILL	32.0
0.7	Turnovers	2.0	NDST	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
15.7	Points Scored	34.1	NDST	18.4
213.4	Passing Yards	178.0	WILL	35.4
10.7	PYPC	12.3	NDST	1.6
6.2	PYPA	8.4	NDST	2.2
58.0	Completion PCT	68.7	NDST	10.7
59.5	Rushing Yards	254.0	NDST	194.5
1.9	RYPA	6.1	NDST	4.1
45.7	PenaltyYards	45.8	WILL	0.1
1.9	Turnovers	0.7	NDST	1.2

Defensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
43.0	Points Scored	24.3	NDST	18.7
220.5	Passing Yards	211.0	NDST	9.5
12.9	PYPC	10.5	NDST	2.4
9.2	PYPA	6.7	NDST	2.5
71.0	Completion PCT	63.9	NDST	7.0
222.9	Rushing Yards	155.7	NDST	67.2
5.6	RYPA	4.9	NDST	0.7
65.6	PenaltyYards	43.8	WILL	21.8
0.9	Turnovers	1.9	NDST	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDST	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
12.4	Points Scored	38.3	NDST	25.9
174.6	Passing Yards	188.9	NDST	14.3
9.7	PYPC	15.4	NDST	5.7
5.7	PYPA	9.3	NDST	3.7
58.3	Completion PCT	60.6	NDST	2.2
102.0	Rushing Yards	259.1	NDST	157.1
3.5	RYPA	5.4	NDST	1.8
32.9	PenaltyYards	52.6	WILL	19.7
3.0	Turnovers	1.1	NDST	1.9

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 21	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Western Illinois North Dakota ST	+35 -35	1% 99%	19% 81%	59.5 57	2% 98%	9% 91%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 21	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
W Illinois	7	+35.0		-2.0		7.5	57.2	9.1	57.8
N Dakota ST	52	-35.0	58.0	37.0	-42.5	49.6	-42.1	48.8	-39.7

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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