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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Virginia	26	+19		2-5	5-2-0	3-2-2	23.6	31.1	17.4	53.2
Miami FL	29	-19	48	5-2	4-3-0	4-3-0	36.3	19.1	35.7	-18.3

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Virginia			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 21	at North Carolina	+1300	+24	58	31-27	W	W	P	10%	3%	18%	18%	84%	67%
6	Oct 7	VS William & Mary	-	-7.5	42	27-13	W	W	U	0%	0%	86%	87%	28%	76%
5	Sep 30	at Boston College	+170	+5	51	24-27	L	W	P	26%	18%	32%	24%	10%	43%
4	Sep 22	VS NC State	+260	+8	47	21-24	L	W	U	12%	8%	31%	25%	67%	74%
3	Sep 15	at Maryland	+500	+15.5	48	14-42	L	L	O	9%	9%	30%	32%	79%	79%
2	Sep 9	VS James Madison	+185	+6	40	35-36	L	W	O	70%	53%	47%	56%	41%	66%
1	Sep 2	(n) Tennessee	+1700	+27.5	55.5	13-49	L	L	O	22%	7%	15%	23%	78%	81%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Miami FL			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 21	VS Clemson	+195	+6	44.5	28-20	W	W	O	48%	43%	45%	41%	61%	76%
7	Oct 14	at North Carolina	+130	+3	57	31-41	L	L	O	31%	21%	30%	21%	86%	84%
6	Oct 7	VS Georgia Tech	-1200	-19	57	20-23	L	L	U	96%	98%	73%	76%	71%	70%
4	Sep 23	at Temple	-2400	-23	46	41-7	W	W	O	90%	97%	94%	82%	45%	78%
3	Sep 14	VS Bethune-Cookman	-	-54	63.5	48-7	W	L	U	0%	0%	48%	42%	79%	69%
2	Sep 9	VS Texas A&M	+114	+2.5	49.5	48-33	W	W	O	48%	26%	32%	27%	62%	70%
1	Sep 1	VS Miami OH	-850	-16.5	45	38-3	W	W	U	89%	93%	67%	70%	68%	75%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 29	Miami FL Hurricanes Virginia Cavaliers	14 12	-3 +3	-150 +130	48.5	MIAF	VIRG	DOG	Home	Under
2021 Sep 30	Virginia Cavaliers Miami FL Hurricanes	30 28	+3.5 -3.5	+142 -162	63.5	VIRG	VIRG	DOG	Road	Under
2020 Oct 24	Virginia Cavaliers Miami FL Hurricanes	14 19	+13.5 -13.5	+334 -425	54.5	MIAF	VIRG	DOG	Road	Under
2019 Oct 11	Virginia Cavaliers Miami FL Hurricanes	9 17	+3 -3	+122 -142	43.5	MIAF	MIAF	FAV	HOME	Under
2018 Oct 13	Miami FL Hurricanes Virginia Cavaliers	13 16	-7 +7	-283 +232	47	VIRG	VIRG	DOG	Home	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	MIAF	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
23.6	Points Scored	36.3	MIAF	12.7
243.4	Passing Yards	288.0	MIAF	44.6
13.0	PYPC	12.2	UVA	0.8
8.2	PYPA	8.7	MIAF	0.5
62.7	Completion PCT	71.1	MIAF	8.4
117.9	Rushing Yards	193.9	MIAF	76.0
3.0	RYPA	5.4	MIAF	2.4
53.7	PenaltyYards	73.3	UVA	19.6
1.7	Turnovers	1.9	UVA	0.2

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	MIAF	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
31.1	Points Scored	19.1	MIAF	12.0
223.4	Passing Yards	234.0	UVA	10.6
11.9	PYPC	13.1	UVA	1.3
7.1	PYPA	7.2	UVA	0.0
60.3	Completion PCT	54.6	MIAF	5.7
172.1	Rushing Yards	79.6	MIAF	92.6
4.5	RYPA	2.7	MIAF	1.8
55.0	PenaltyYards	61.1	MIAF	6.1
1.1	Turnovers	1.7	MIAF	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	MIAF	Edge	Margin
3	Games	5	MIAF	2
23.0	Points Scored	36.4	MIAF	13.4
239.3	Passing Yards	281.0	MIAF	41.7
11.1	PYPC	12.0	MIAF	1.0
7.0	PYPA	8.9	MIAF	1.9
63.1	Completion PCT	74.1	MIAF	10.9
126.0	Rushing Yards	188.6	MIAF	62.6
3.4	RYPA	5.2	MIAF	1.9
58.7	PenaltyYards	75.8	UVA	17.1
2.3	Turnovers	1.8	MIAF	0.5

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	MIAF	Edge	Margin
3	Games	5	UVA	2
32.0	Points Scored	17.2	MIAF	14.8
290.7	Passing Yards	219.4	MIAF	71.3
14.8	PYPC	12.9	MIAF	1.9
8.4	PYPA	7.1	MIAF	1.3
56.7	Completion PCT	55.2	MIAF	1.5
155.0	Rushing Yards	62.2	MIAF	92.8
4.4	RYPA	2.1	MIAF	2.2
58.0	PenaltyYards	48.8	UVA	9.2
1.7	Turnovers	1.8	MIAF	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	MIAF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
21.2	Points Scored	31.5	MIAF	10.3
229.6	Passing Yards	249.9	MIAF	20.3
12.8	PYPC	11.8	UVA	0.9
7.6	PYPA	8.1	MIAF	0.5
59.4	Completion PCT	68.5	MIAF	9.1
112.2	Rushing Yards	171.0	MIAF	58.8
3.0	RYPA	5.0	MIAF	1.9
47.8	PenaltyYards	73.0	UVA	25.2
1.5	Turnovers	1.8	UVA	0.3

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	MIAF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
30.0	Points Scored	23.0	MIAF	7.0
219.0	Passing Yards	236.8	UVA	17.8
11.7	PYPC	12.4	UVA	0.7
7.0	PYPA	7.1	UVA	0.0
59.9	Completion PCT	56.9	MIAF	3.1
170.3	Rushing Yards	114.1	MIAF	56.2
4.3	RYPA	3.6	MIAF	0.7
53.4	PenaltyYards	54.2	MIAF	0.8
0.8	Turnovers	2.1	MIAF	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	MIAF	Edge	Margin
19	Games	19	-	0
22.6	Points Scored	24.9	MIAF	2.3
225.6	Passing Yards	220.8	UVA	4.8
11.1	PYPC	13.1	MIAF	2.0
6.8	PYPA	7.5	MIAF	0.7
61.4	Completion PCT	57.4	UVA	4.0
138.5	Rushing Yards	150.5	MIAF	11.9
3.9	RYPA	4.4	MIAF	0.5
47.0	PenaltyYards	52.5	UVA	5.6
1.5	Turnovers	1.6	UVA	0.2

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 28	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Virginia Miami FL	+19 -19	32% 68%	49% 51%	48 48	66% 34%	81% 19%	+850 -1450	18% 82%	5% 95%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 28	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Virginia Cavaliers	26	+19.0		39.0		17.4	53.2	14.5	50.8
Miami FL Hurricanes	29	-19.0	48.0	53.5	-16.7	35.7	-18.3	36.4	-21.9

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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