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Aggie Memorial Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Middle Tenn ST	7	+3		2-6	3-5-0	4-3-1	23.8	33.1	27.2	57.1
New Mexico ST	13	-3	55.5	6-3	7-2-0	3-6-0	29.4	21.4	29.9	-2.8

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Middle Tenn ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 17	at Liberty	+525	+16	56	35-42	L	W	O	14%	10%	26%	24%	57%	55%
7	Oct 10	VS Louisiana Tech	-155	-3	54	31-23	W	W	P	50%	43%	49%	48%	62%	68%
6	Oct 4	VS Jacksonville ST	-142	-2.5	52	30-45	L	L	O	64%	48%	59%	51%	34%	36%
5	Sep 28	at W Kentucky	+220	+6.5	61.5	10-31	L	L	U	12%	10%	19%	28%	61%	52%
4	Sep 23	VS Colorado ST	-192	-4	50	23-31	L	L	O	25%	29%	61%	39%	61%	76%
3	Sep 16	VS Murray ST	-	-33	49.5	35-14	W	L	U	0%	0%	51%	36%	92%	79%
2	Sep 9	at Missouri	+900	+21	47.5	19-23	L	W	U	16%	5%	27%	26%	81%	77%
1	Sep 2	at Alabama	-	+39.5	52	7-56	L	L	O	0%	0%	11%	9%	90%	95%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
New Mexico ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
9	Oct 24	at Louisiana Tech	+130	+3	55	27-24	W	W	U	53%	61%	51%	55%	55%	60%
8	Oct 18	at UTEP	-155	-3	48.5	28-7	W	W	U	74%	75%	52%	75%	51%	61%
7	Oct 11	VS Sam Houston ST	-192	-4	42.5	27-13	W	W	U	92%	84%	57%	65%	63%	70%
6	Oct 4	VS Florida Intl	-245	-6.5	49	34-17	W	W	O	79%	79%	64%	64%	75%	44%
4	Sep 23	at Hawaii	+160	+4	55.5	17-20	L	W	U	40%	27%	20%	26%	45%	57%
3	Sep 16	at New Mexico	+120	+2.5	52	27-17	W	W	U	5%	29%	13%	20%	35%	66%
2	Sep 9	at Liberty	+300	+9.5	54.5	17-33	L	L	U	13%	5%	46%	30%	26%	71%
1	Sep 2	VS W Illinois	-1650	-21	55	58-21	W	W	O	79%	91%	71%	69%	63%	57%
1	Aug 26	VS Massachusetts	-278	-7	45.5	30-41	L	L	O	87%	91%	65%	72%	48%	62%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2004 Nov 6	Middle Tenn ST Blue Raiders New Mexico ST Aggies	10 44	-2.5 +2.5	- -	54.5	NMST	NMST	DOG	HOME	Under
2003 Oct 11	New Mexico ST Aggies Middle Tenn ST Blue Raiders	18 35	+3.5 -3.5	- -	58	MTEN	MTEN	FAV	Home	Under
2002 Nov 2	Middle Tenn ST Blue Raiders New Mexico ST Aggies	21 24	+7 -7	- -	52	NMST	MTEN	DOG	Road	Under
2001 Oct 27	New Mexico ST Aggies Middle Tenn ST Blue Raiders	35 39	+7.5 -7.5	- -	64	MTEN	NMST	DOG	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	NMST	Edge	Margin
8	Games	9	NMST	1
23.8	Points Scored	29.4	NMST	5.7
275.4	Passing Yards	221.7	MTENN	53.7
10.7	PYPC	15.4	NMST	4.7
7.3	PYPA	9.3	NMST	2.0
68.4	Completion PCT	60.5	MTENN	8.0
118.5	Rushing Yards	205.4	NMST	86.9
3.7	RYPA	6.1	NMST	2.3
62.4	PenaltyYards	55.2	NMST	7.2
1.9	Turnovers	0.9	NMST	1.0

Defensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	NMST	Edge	Margin
8	Games	9	MTENN	1
33.1	Points Scored	21.4	NMST	11.7
247.6	Passing Yards	243.0	NMST	4.6
11.5	PYPC	12.0	MTENN	0.6
7.4	PYPA	7.5	MTENN	0.1
64.3	Completion PCT	62.3	NMST	2.0
168.8	Rushing Yards	129.1	NMST	39.6
4.4	RYPA	3.9	NMST	0.6
54.4	PenaltyYards	51.6	MTENN	2.8
1.1	Turnovers	0.8	MTENN	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	NMST	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
17.8	Points Scored	37.3	NMST	19.5
232.8	Passing Yards	292.5	NMST	59.8
9.6	PYPC	16.3	NMST	6.7
6.1	PYPA	10.2	NMST	4.1
63.4	Completion PCT	62.6	MTENN	0.8
91.5	Rushing Yards	208.8	NMST	117.3
3.4	RYPA	5.8	NMST	2.4
51.5	PenaltyYards	56.3	MTENN	4.8
2.0	Turnovers	1.0	NMST	1.0

Defensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	NMST	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
38.0	Points Scored	23.0	NMST	15.0
216.8	Passing Yards	250.5	MTENN	33.8
11.9	PYPC	11.7	NMST	0.2
7.5	PYPA	7.7	MTENN	0.1
63.5	Completion PCT	65.7	MTENN	2.2
216.3	Rushing Yards	100.5	NMST	115.8
4.9	RYPA	3.5	NMST	1.4
54.3	PenaltyYards	46.8	MTENN	7.5
0.8	Turnovers	0.5	MTENN	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	NMST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
24.8	Points Scored	28.9	NMST	4.1
271.8	Passing Yards	216.2	MTENN	55.6
10.4	PYPC	14.7	NMST	4.3
7.0	PYPA	8.9	NMST	1.8
67.6	Completion PCT	60.3	MTENN	7.4
105.0	Rushing Yards	208.9	NMST	103.9
3.2	RYPA	6.0	NMST	2.8
61.9	PenaltyYards	55.1	NMST	6.8
1.6	Turnovers	0.9	NMST	0.7

Defensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	NMST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
31.6	Points Scored	21.2	NMST	10.4
270.4	Passing Yards	240.8	NMST	29.6
12.2	PYPC	12.2	NMST	0.1
7.4	PYPA	7.6	MTENN	0.2
60.6	Completion PCT	62.3	MTENN	1.7
148.8	Rushing Yards	123.5	NMST	25.3
4.2	RYPA	3.8	NMST	0.4
55.7	PenaltyYards	51.0	MTENN	4.7
1.8	Turnovers	0.9	MTENN	0.9

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MTENN	Statistic	NMST	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
26.3	Points Scored	30.3	NMST	4.0
192.5	Passing Yards	241.3	NMST	48.8
13.3	PYPC	13.6	NMST	0.3
8.3	PYPA	8.4	NMST	0.1
62.4	Completion PCT	61.7	MTENN	0.6
144.0	Rushing Yards	250.8	NMST	106.8
4.1	RYPA	4.7	NMST	0.6
51.0	PenaltyYards	77.3	MTENN	26.3
2.3	Turnovers	1.8	NMST	0.5

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Middle Tennessee New Mexico ST	+3 -3	52% 48%	35% 65%	55.5 55.5	54% 46%	60% 40%	+130 -155	16% 84%	23% 77%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 4	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Middle Tenn ST Blue Raiders	7	+3.0		30.0		27.2	57.1	28.1	53.8
New Mexico ST Aggies	13	-3.0	55.5	31.5	-3.8	29.9	-2.8	25.8	2.3

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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