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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Kentucky	38	+7.5		6-5	5-6-0	7-4-0	27.7	24.3	22.4	50.9
Louisville (9)	31	-7.5	49	10-1	6-4-1	5-6-0	33.2	18.4	28.5	-6.2

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Kentucky			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
12	Nov 18	at South Carolina	+110	+2	52	14-17	L	L	U	47%	60%	43%	57%	38%	77%
11	Nov 11	VS Alabama	+340	+12	47	21-49	L	L	O	3%	3%	27%	18%	61%	82%
10	Nov 4	at Mississippi ST	-225	-5.5	44.5	24-3	W	W	U	82%	86%	78%	75%	77%	80%
9	Oct 28	VS Tennessee	+154	+4	50	27-33	L	L	O	41%	29%	46%	33%	68%	66%
7	Oct 14	VS Missouri	-125	-2	50.5	21-38	L	L	O	74%	74%	67%	80%	84%	86%
6	Oct 7	at Georgia	+470	+15	47.5	13-51	L	L	O	46%	25%	60%	51%	55%	74%
5	Sep 30	VS Florida	-122	-1.5	44	33-14	W	W	O	52%	36%	51%	48%	58%	76%
4	Sep 23	at Vanderbilt	-535	-13.5	50	45-28	W	W	O	92%	96%	65%	73%	81%	78%
3	Sep 16	VS Akron	-3600	-26	48.5	35-3	W	W	U	91%	96%	70%	69%	41%	73%
2	Sep 9	VS E Kentucky	-	-35.5	62.5	28-17	W	L	U	0%	0%	65%	70%	53%	37%
1	Sep 2	VS Ball ST	-4000	-25.5	49	44-14	W	W	O	84%	95%	66%	57%	71%	66%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Louisville			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
12	Nov 18	at Miami FL	-115	-1	46.5	38-31	W	W	O	53%	74%	46%	64%	75%	85%
11	Nov 9	VS Virginia	-1200	-20	49.5	31-24	W	L	O	95%	94%	82%	78%	64%	67%
10	Nov 4	VS Virginia Tech	-340	-8.5	47	34-3	W	W	U	92%	98%	72%	82%	38%	67%
9	Oct 28	VS Duke	-198	-5	47	23-0	W	W	U	52%	59%	50%	41%	62%	77%
7	Oct 14	at Pittsburgh	-290	-7	45	21-38	L	L	O	89%	95%	63%	74%	62%	82%
6	Oct 7	VS Notre Dame	+210	+6.5	53.5	33-20	W	W	U	21%	13%	17%	20%	58%	61%
5	Sep 29	at NC State	-166	-3	56.5	13-10	W	P	U	74%	77%	82%	74%	66%	63%
4	Sep 23	VS Boston College	-550	-14	53.5	56-28	W	W	O	79%	91%	36%	42%	70%	74%
3	Sep 16	(n) Indiana	-360	-10	50.5	21-14	W	L	U	63%	85%	23%	34%	54%	63%
2	Sep 7	VS Murray ST	-	-44	56.5	56-0	W	W	U	0%	0%	41%	38%	77%	80%
1	Sep 1	(n) Georgia Tech	-310	-7.5	49.5	39-34	W	L	O	79%	84%	50%	62%	46%	49%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 26	Louisville Cardinals Kentucky Wildcats	13 26	+3.5 -3.5	+155 -180	42.5	KENT	KENT	FAV	Home	Under
2021 Nov 27	Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals	52 21	+3 -3	+130 -150	57.5	KENT	KENT	DOG	Road	Over
2019 Nov 30	Louisville Cardinals Kentucky Wildcats	13 45	+3.5 -3.5	+144 -165	52	KENT	KENT	FAV	Home	Over
2018 Nov 24	Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals	56 10	-16 +16	-850 +588	53	KENT	KENT	FAV	Road	Over
2017 Nov 25	Louisville Cardinals Kentucky Wildcats	44 17	-10 +10	-360 +289	67.5	LOUI	LOUI	FAV	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UK	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
27.7	Points Scored	33.2	LOU	5.5
203.6	Passing Yards	256.3	LOU	52.7
12.2	PYPC	13.6	LOU	1.4
6.9	PYPA	9.0	LOU	2.1
56.0	Completion PCT	65.9	LOU	10.0
135.3	Rushing Yards	186.8	LOU	51.6
5.1	RYPA	5.0	UK	0.1
56.0	PenaltyYards	49.9	LOU	6.1
1.4	Turnovers	1.2	LOU	0.2

Defensive Statistics

UK	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
24.3	Points Scored	18.4	LOU	5.9
237.6	Passing Yards	219.0	LOU	18.6
11.0	PYPC	12.8	UK	1.8
7.3	PYPA	7.1	LOU	0.2
66.7	Completion PCT	55.3	LOU	11.4
109.6	Rushing Yards	98.0	LOU	11.6
3.3	RYPA	3.3	LOU	0.0
62.4	PenaltyYards	58.7	UK	3.6
1.3	Turnovers	1.6	LOU	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UK	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	6	LOU	2
24.0	Points Scored	38.8	LOU	14.8
166.3	Passing Yards	231.7	LOU	65.4
11.7	PYPC	13.6	LOU	2.0
5.8	PYPA	10.2	LOU	4.4
50.0	Completion PCT	75.0	LOU	25.0
111.8	Rushing Yards	228.0	LOU	116.3
4.0	RYPA	5.7	LOU	1.6
65.8	PenaltyYards	47.3	LOU	18.4
1.3	Turnovers	0.7	LOU	0.6

Defensive Statistics

UK	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	6	UK	2
24.8	Points Scored	12.5	LOU	12.3
254.5	Passing Yards	193.0	LOU	61.5
11.4	PYPC	12.1	UK	0.6
6.7	PYPA	6.3	LOU	0.5
58.9	Completion PCT	52.2	LOU	6.8
98.3	Rushing Yards	84.8	LOU	13.4
3.2	RYPA	2.9	LOU	0.3
74.3	PenaltyYards	63.5	UK	10.8
1.3	Turnovers	2.0	LOU	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UK	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.1	Points Scored	32.6	LOU	6.5
199.8	Passing Yards	257.2	LOU	57.4
12.1	PYPC	13.6	LOU	1.5
6.8	PYPA	9.1	LOU	2.3
55.7	Completion PCT	66.8	LOU	11.0
137.2	Rushing Yards	182.8	LOU	45.6
5.1	RYPA	4.9	UK	0.2
56.5	PenaltyYards	49.0	LOU	7.5
1.4	Turnovers	1.2	LOU	0.2

Defensive Statistics

UK	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.3	Points Scored	16.8	LOU	8.5
239.0	Passing Yards	209.6	LOU	29.4
11.1	PYPC	12.4	UK	1.3
7.3	PYPA	6.8	LOU	0.5
66.1	Completion PCT	54.9	LOU	11.2
113.3	Rushing Yards	90.3	LOU	23.0
3.5	RYPA	3.1	LOU	0.4
66.0	PenaltyYards	62.6	UK	3.4
1.2	Turnovers	1.6	LOU	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UK	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
22	Games	22	-	0
27.6	Points Scored	28.8	LOU	1.2
210.0	Passing Yards	216.2	LOU	6.2
12.7	PYPC	12.9	LOU	0.2
7.2	PYPA	7.6	LOU	0.5
56.4	Completion PCT	59.2	LOU	2.9
158.5	Rushing Yards	196.2	LOU	37.7
4.6	RYPA	5.0	LOU	0.4
52.9	PenaltyYards	58.1	UK	5.2
1.6	Turnovers	1.8	UK	0.2

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 25	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Kentucky Louisville	+7 -7	24% 76%	29% 71%	47.5 47.5	60% 40%	72% 28%	+225 -278	14% 86%	8% 92%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 25	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Kentucky Wildcats	38	+7.5		49.5		22.4	50.9	23.3	51.6
Louisville Cardinals	31	-7.5	49.0	54.5	-8.4	28.5	-6.2	28.3	-5.0

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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