Home-2

Bobcat Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
N Dakota ST	35	+3		9-3	8-4-0	6-6-0	38.6	18.1	27.1	58.6
Montana ST	34	-3	57	8-3	6-5-0	6-5-0	40.5	20.6	31.4	-4.3

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
N Dakota ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
13	Nov 25	VS Drake	-	-40.5	49	66-3	W	W	O	0%	0%	92%	69%	93%	90%
12	Nov 18	at N Iowa	-	-7	50.5	48-27	W	W	O	0%	0%	92%	69%	78%	40%
11	Nov 11	VS S Illinois	-	-7.5	47	34-10	W	W	U	0%	0%	69%	80%	73%	8%
10	Nov 4	at S Dakota ST	-	+14	52	16-33	L	L	U	0%	0%	22%	29%	100%	83%
9	Oct 28	VS Murray ST	-	-33.5	54.5	38-6	W	L	U	0%	0%	85%	75%	100%	100%
8	Oct 21	VS W Illinois	-	-35	58	52-7	W	W	O	0%	0%	99%	81%	2%	9%
7	Oct 14	at N Dakota	-	-6.5	59.5	24-49	L	L	O	0%	0%	51%	69%	89%	79%
6	Oct 7	at Missouri ST	-	-14.5	56.5	38-10	W	W	U	0%	0%	41%	76%	100%	100%
5	Sep 30	VS S Dakota	-	-19	50	19-24	L	L	U	0%	0%	2%	61%	43%	56%
3	Sep 16	VS C Arkansas	-	-17.5	54.5	49-31	W	W	O	0%	0%	5%	76%	100%	100%
2	Sep 9	VS Maine	-	-35.5	50.5	44-7	W	W	O	0%	0%	95%	80%	100%	100%
1	Sep 2	(n) E Washington	-	-21.5	58.5	35-10	W	W	U	0%	0%	100%	86%	98%	67%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Montana ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
12	Nov 18	at Montana	-	-6.5	52.5	7-37	L	L	U	0%	0%	43%	43%	89%	75%
11	Nov 11	VS E Washington	-	-21	67.5	57-14	W	W	O	0%	0%	65%	64%	18%	23%
10	Nov 4	VS N Arizona	-	-23.5	63	45-21	W	W	O	0%	0%	98%	84%	3%	22%
9	Oct 28	at Idaho	-	-6.5	60	21-24	L	L	U	0%	0%	59%	58%	8%	67%
8	Oct 21	at Sacramento ST	-	-10.5	59.5	42-30	W	W	O	0%	0%	61%	49%	90%	76%
7	Oct 14	VS Cal Poly	-	-40.5	61	59-19	W	L	O	0%	0%	10%	20%	19%	67%
5	Sep 30	VS Portland ST	-	-27	65.5	38-22	W	L	U	0%	0%	88%	89%	100%	100%
4	Sep 23	at Weber ST	-	-8	54.5	40-0	W	W	U	0%	0%	100%	92%	95%	80%
3	Sep 16	VS Stetson	-	-47	61	57-20	W	L	O	0%	0%	99%	80%	95%	81%
2	Sep 9	at S Dakota ST	-	+8	58.5	16-20	L	W	U	0%	0%	91%	51%	84%	67%
1	Sep 2	VS Utah Tech	-	-31.5	59.5	63-20	W	W	O	0%	0%	100%	94%	71%	75%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2021 Jan 8	N Dakota ST Montana ST	38 10	-7 +7	-300 +250	41.5	NDST	NDST	FAV		Over
2019 Dec 21	Montana ST N Dakota ST	14 42	+16.5 -16.5	- -	46.5	NDST	NDST	FAV	Home	Over
2018 Dec 1	Montana ST N Dakota ST	10 52	+28 -28	- -	51	NDST	NDST	FAV	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NDST	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
12	Games	11	NDST	1
38.6	Points Scored	40.5	MTST	1.9
210.9	Passing Yards	176.1	NDST	34.8
12.8	PYPC	15.3	MTST	2.5
9.4	PYPA	8.8	NDST	0.7
73.6	Completion PCT	57.5	NDST	16.1
240.6	Rushing Yards	294.6	MTST	54.1
5.9	RYPA	7.4	MTST	1.5
53.9	PenaltyYards	50.4	MTST	3.6
0.8	Turnovers	0.6	MTST	0.3

Defensive Statistics

NDST	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
12	Games	11	MTST	1
18.1	Points Scored	20.6	NDST	2.6
178.7	Passing Yards	205.1	NDST	26.4
10.9	PYPC	10.6	MTST	0.3
6.7	PYPA	6.5	MTST	0.2
61.6	Completion PCT	61.5	MTST	0.2
108.3	Rushing Yards	122.5	NDST	14.2
3.7	RYPA	3.8	NDST	0.0
42.1	PenaltyYards	43.4	MTST	1.3
1.9	Turnovers	1.4	NDST	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NDST	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
4	Games	6	MTST	2
31.5	Points Scored	53.2	MTST	21.7
223.8	Passing Yards	216.7	NDST	7.1
13.6	PYPC	15.5	MTST	1.9
9.5	PYPA	9.8	MTST	0.3
70.2	Completion PCT	63.2	NDST	7.1
181.8	Rushing Yards	335.8	MTST	154.1
4.9	RYPA	8.4	MTST	3.5
42.8	PenaltyYards	56.0	NDST	13.3
1.0	Turnovers	0.3	MTST	0.7

Defensive Statistics

NDST	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
4	Games	6	NDST	2
29.8	Points Scored	19.3	MTST	10.4
234.3	Passing Yards	213.3	MTST	20.9
13.4	PYPC	10.9	MTST	2.5
8.3	PYPA	6.5	MTST	1.8
62.0	Completion PCT	59.6	MTST	2.4
128.5	Rushing Yards	95.7	MTST	32.8
4.3	RYPA	3.2	MTST	1.0
25.8	PenaltyYards	30.5	MTST	4.8
2.0	Turnovers	1.8	NDST	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NDST	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
38.4	Points Scored	38.2	NDST	0.2
216.3	Passing Yards	170.6	NDST	45.7
13.4	PYPC	14.8	MTST	1.5
10.0	PYPA	8.4	NDST	1.6
74.7	Completion PCT	56.7	NDST	18.0
228.6	Rushing Yards	283.4	MTST	54.8
5.7	RYPA	7.3	MTST	1.7
52.2	PenaltyYards	52.1	MTST	0.1
1.0	Turnovers	0.6	MTST	0.4

Defensive Statistics

NDST	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
20.0	Points Scored	20.7	NDST	0.7
176.1	Passing Yards	199.6	NDST	23.5
11.4	PYPC	10.5	MTST	0.9
7.0	PYPA	6.6	MTST	0.5
62.0	Completion PCT	62.8	NDST	0.8
112.1	Rushing Yards	129.8	NDST	17.7
3.8	RYPA	3.8	NDST	0.0
40.2	PenaltyYards	44.5	MTST	4.3
1.8	Turnovers	1.2	NDST	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NDST	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
44.0	Points Scored	11.3	NDST	32.7
145.0	Passing Yards	151.0	MTST	6.0
14.0	PYPC	12.9	NDST	1.1
9.5	PYPA	6.4	NDST	3.1
67.4	Completion PCT	49.3	NDST	18.1
368.3	Rushing Yards	160.3	NDST	208.0
8.3	RYPA	4.2	NDST	4.1
34.3	PenaltyYards	21.7	MTST	12.7
0.7	Turnovers	1.0	NDST	0.3

Betting Splits

Saturday,December 2	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
North Dakota ST Montana ST	+3 -3	36% 64%	49% 51%	55.5 55.5	11% 89%	25% 75%	+136 -162	46% 54%	48% 52%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, December 2	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
N Dakota ST	35	+3.0		41.5		27.1	58.6	26.3	61.0
Montana ST	34	-3.0	57.0	42.0	-4.2	31.4	-4.3	34.8	-8.5

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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