Home-2

LT Smith Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
New Mexico ST	38	+4.5		7-3	8-2-0	3-7-0	27.8	20.0	24.5	56.2
W Kentucky	29	-4.5	54	5-4	4-5-0	4-5-0	28.9	27.7	31.7	-7.2

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
New Mexico ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
10	Nov 4	VS Middle Tenn ST	-155	-3	55.5	13-7	W	W	U	84%	77%	48%	65%	54%	60%
9	Oct 24	at Louisiana Tech	+130	+3	55	27-24	W	W	U	53%	61%	51%	55%	55%	60%
8	Oct 18	at UTEP	-155	-3	48.5	28-7	W	W	U	74%	75%	52%	75%	51%	61%
7	Oct 11	VS Sam Houston ST	-192	-4	42.5	27-13	W	W	U	92%	84%	57%	65%	63%	70%
6	Oct 4	VS Florida Intl	-245	-6.5	49	34-17	W	W	O	79%	79%	64%	64%	75%	44%
4	Sep 23	at Hawaii	+160	+4	55.5	17-20	L	W	U	40%	27%	20%	26%	45%	57%
3	Sep 16	at New Mexico	+120	+2.5	52	27-17	W	W	U	5%	29%	13%	20%	35%	66%
2	Sep 9	at Liberty	+300	+9.5	54.5	17-33	L	L	U	13%	5%	46%	30%	26%	71%
1	Sep 2	VS W Illinois	-1650	-21	55	58-21	W	W	O	79%	91%	71%	69%	63%	57%
1	Aug 26	VS Massachusetts	-278	-7	45.5	30-41	L	L	O	87%	91%	65%	72%	48%	62%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
W Kentucky			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
10	Nov 4	at UTEP	-410	-10	54	21-13	W	L	U	72%	94%	70%	63%	69%	69%
9	Oct 24	VS Liberty	+164	+4.5	62	29-42	L	L	O	46%	26%	47%	38%	70%	54%
8	Oct 17	at Jacksonville ST	-325	-7.5	60.5	17-20	L	L	U	60%	74%	52%	47%	71%	49%
6	Oct 5	at Louisiana Tech	-238	-6	58.5	35-28	W	W	O	52%	75%	48%	60%	44%	48%
5	Sep 28	VS Middle Tenn ST	-270	-6.5	61.5	31-10	W	W	U	88%	90%	81%	72%	61%	52%
4	Sep 23	at Troy	+160	+4	58	24-27	L	W	U	57%	39%	34%	48%	51%	57%
3	Sep 16	at Ohio ST	+1800	+29.5	65.5	10-63	L	L	O	12%	4%	28%	16%	54%	43%
2	Sep 9	VS Houston Christian	-	-42.5	64.5	52-22	W	L	O	0%	0%	57%	52%	51%	45%
1	Sep 2	VS South Florida	-535	-13	71	41-24	W	W	U	66%	90%	68%	62%	39%	23%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
No Head to Head Matchups

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	WKU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	9	NMST	1
27.8	Points Scored	28.9	WKU	1.1
221.5	Passing Yards	270.8	WKU	49.3
15.2	PYPC	11.1	NMST	4.1
9.0	PYPA	6.7	NMST	2.3
59.4	Completion PCT	60.4	WKU	1.1
203.1	Rushing Yards	111.8	NMST	91.3
6.0	RYPA	4.4	NMST	1.5
55.7	PenaltyYards	39.7	WKU	16.0
0.9	Turnovers	1.2	NMST	0.3

Defensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	WKU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	9	WKU	1
20.0	Points Scored	27.7	NMST	7.7
236.5	Passing Yards	244.7	NMST	8.2
11.7	PYPC	12.8	NMST	1.1
7.2	PYPA	7.6	NMST	0.4
61.6	Completion PCT	59.5	WKU	2.1
133.0	Rushing Yards	211.4	NMST	78.4
4.0	RYPA	4.9	NMST	0.9
50.6	PenaltyYards	55.7	WKU	5.1
0.8	Turnovers	2.1	WKU	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	WKU	Edge	Margin
5	Games	4	NMST	1
23.2	Points Scored	38.3	WKU	15.1
165.0	Passing Yards	329.0	WKU	164.0
14.2	PYPC	10.9	NMST	3.3
8.3	PYPA	7.2	NMST	1.1
58.0	Completion PCT	65.8	WKU	7.8
202.8	Rushing Yards	127.5	NMST	75.3
6.3	RYPA	5.2	NMST	1.1
54.4	PenaltyYards	57.5	NMST	3.1
0.8	Turnovers	0.5	WKU	0.3

Defensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	WKU	Edge	Margin
5	Games	4	WKU	1
20.2	Points Scored	24.5	NMST	4.3
237.0	Passing Yards	200.0	WKU	37.0
12.3	PYPC	11.4	WKU	0.9
7.4	PYPA	6.6	WKU	0.8
59.6	Completion PCT	57.4	WKU	2.3
152.0	Rushing Yards	243.3	NMST	91.3
4.0	RYPA	5.5	NMST	1.4
55.4	PenaltyYards	71.8	WKU	16.4
1.0	Turnovers	2.3	WKU	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	WKU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
27.8	Points Scored	30.4	WKU	2.6
221.5	Passing Yards	295.9	WKU	74.4
15.2	PYPC	11.5	NMST	3.7
9.0	PYPA	7.1	NMST	2.0
59.4	Completion PCT	61.2	WKU	1.8
203.1	Rushing Yards	116.1	NMST	87.0
6.0	RYPA	4.6	NMST	1.4
55.7	PenaltyYards	42.7	WKU	13.0
0.9	Turnovers	1.2	NMST	0.3

Defensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	WKU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
20.0	Points Scored	27.2	NMST	7.2
236.5	Passing Yards	257.9	NMST	21.4
11.7	PYPC	12.3	NMST	0.6
7.2	PYPA	7.5	NMST	0.3
61.6	Completion PCT	60.8	WKU	0.8
133.0	Rushing Yards	194.7	NMST	61.7
4.0	RYPA	4.7	NMST	0.7
50.6	PenaltyYards	52.8	WKU	2.2
0.8	Turnovers	2.1	WKU	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	WKU	Edge	Margin
0	Games	0	-	0
0.0	Points Scored	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Passing Yards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PYPC	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PYPA	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Completion PCT	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Rushing Yards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	RYPA	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PenaltyYards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Turnovers	0.0	-	0.0

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 11	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
New Mexico ST Western Kentucky	+4.5 -4.5	55% 45%	31% 69%	54 54	78% 22%	61% 39%	+164 -198	48% 52%	21% 79%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 11	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
New Mexico ST Aggies	38	+4.5		31.5		24.5	56.2	21.7	56.3
W Kentucky Hilltoppers	29	-4.5	54.0	35.0	-6.5	31.7	-7.2	34.7	-13.0

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

Active Betting Splits