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Carter-Finley Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
North Carolina	19	+7		4-7	5-5-1	4-7-0	19.3	22.9	19.8	46.5
NC State	42	-7	48.5	6-5	5-6-0	6-5-0	29.1	29.7	26.7	-6.9

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Nov 29	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
North Carolina NC ST	+7 -7	45% 55%	32% 68%	48.5 48.5	72% 28%	69% 31%	+225 -278	34% 66%	10% 90%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Nov 29	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
North Carolina NC State	+7 -7	73% 27%	36% 64%	49 49	100% 0%	100% 0%	225 -265	31% 69%	75% 25%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Wes Reynolds	CFB	2025-11-29	1H - North Carolina (+4.5) at NC State	10 - 28	LOSS
Mike Montesano	CFB	2025-11-29	NC State (-7.5) (-110) vs North Carolina	42 - 19	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 29	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
North Carolina Tar Heels	19	+7.0		40.5		19.8	46.5	22.8	49.5
NC State Wolfpack	42	-7.0	48.5	47.5	-9.1	26.7	-6.9	26.7	-3.9

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
North Carolina			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
13	Nov 22	VS Duke	+205	+7	50.5	25-32	L	P	O	46%	15%	41%	33%	38%	57%
12	Nov 15	at Wake Forest	+145	+3.5	37.5	12-28	L	L	O	50%	27%	80%	63%	64%	79%
11	Nov 8	VS Stanford	-310	-8.5	41.5	20-15	W	L	U	84%	91%	83%	63%	66%	65%
10	Oct 31	at Syracuse	-105	+1.5	45.5	27-10	W	W	U	60%	42%	69%	41%	40%	57%
9	Oct 25	VS Virginia	+340	+11.5	51.5	16-17	L	W	U	12%	5%	27%	19%	83%	76%
8	Oct 17	at California	+260	+7.5	46.5	18-21	L	W	U	56%	17%	43%	32%	79%	73%
6	Oct 4	VS Clemson	+470	+15.5	47.5	10-38	L	L	O	13%	11%	28%	43%	58%	83%
4	Sep 20	at UCF	+210	+7	46.5	9-34	L	L	U	58%	30%	56%	67%	43%	86%
3	Sep 13	VS Richmond	-2800	-24.5	47.5	41-6	W	W	U	70%	97%	72%	75%	50%	78%
2	Sep 6	at Charlotte	-675	-15.5	49.5	20-3	W	W	U	66%	94%	76%	77%	80%	77%
1	Sep 1	VS TCU	+150	+3.5	54.5	14-48	L	L	O	62%	66%	41%	53%	50%	36%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
NC State			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
13	Nov 21	VS Florida ST	+205	+7	58.5	21-11	W	W	U	48%	32%	31%	48%	71%	59%
12	Nov 15	at Miami FL	+500	+15.5	54.5	7-41	L	L	U	27%	5%	42%	40%	87%	77%
10	Nov 1	VS Georgia Tech	+164	+4.5	58.5	48-36	W	W	O	14%	5%	30%	14%	91%	61%
9	Oct 25	at Pittsburgh	+170	+4.5	52.5	34-53	L	L	O	39%	9%	42%	23%	64%	77%
7	Oct 11	at Notre Dame	+1300	+23.5	59.5	7-36	L	L	U	32%	5%	38%	39%	92%	68%
6	Oct 4	VS Campbell	-	-42.5	61.5	56-10	W	W	O	0%	0%	54%	57%	36%	48%
5	Sep 27	VS Virginia Tech	-360	-10	57.5	21-23	L	L	U	80%	95%	63%	64%	65%	54%
4	Sep 20	at Duke	+136	+3	57.5	33-45	L	L	O	34%	42%	25%	46%	80%	67%
3	Sep 11	at Wake Forest	-298	-7.5	52.5	34-24	W	W	O	67%	81%	46%	51%	78%	68%
2	Sep 6	VS Virginia	-148	-3	53.5	35-31	W	W	O	56%	72%	49%	56%	43%	45%
1	Aug 28	VS East Carolina	-550	-13.5	61.5	24-17	W	L	U	53%	88%	49%	57%	75%	53%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Nov 30	NC State Wolfpack North Carolina Tar Heels	35 30	+2 -2	+105 -125	54.5	NCST	NCST	DOG	Road	Over
2023 Nov 25	North Carolina Tar Heels NC State Wolfpack	20 39	-2.5 +2.5	-142 +120	55.5	NCST	NCST	DOG	HOME	Over
2022 Nov 25	NC State Wolfpack North Carolina Tar Heels	30 27	+6.5 -6.5	+205 -245	56	NCST	NCST	DOG	Road	Over
2021 Nov 26	North Carolina Tar Heels NC State Wolfpack	30 34	+5 -5	+175 -210	61.5	NCST	NCAR	DOG	Road	Over
2020 Oct 24	NC State Wolfpack North Carolina Tar Heels	21 48	+16 -16	+489 -671	61.5	NCAR	NCAR	FAV	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
19.3	Points Scored	29.1	NCST	9.8
182.9	Passing Yards	252.0	NCST	69.1
9.8	PYPC	11.3	NCST	1.5
6.3	PYPA	7.8	NCST	1.5
64.3	Completion PCT	68.6	NCST	4.4
108.4	Rushing Yards	145.8	NCST	37.5
3.7	RYPA	4.6	NCST	0.9
56.6	PenaltyYards	53.0	NCST	3.6
1.3	Turnovers	1.2	NCST	0.1

Defensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
22.9	Points Scored	29.7	UNC	6.8
212.2	Passing Yards	291.1	UNC	78.9
10.4	PYPC	12.7	UNC	2.2
6.6	PYPA	8.0	UNC	1.4
63.1	Completion PCT	63.3	UNC	0.1
119.8	Rushing Yards	144.1	UNC	24.3
3.4	RYPA	4.4	UNC	1.1
50.0	PenaltyYards	58.8	NCST	8.8
1.1	Turnovers	1.1	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
5	Games	6	NCST	1
17.2	Points Scored	34.2	NCST	17.0
178.6	Passing Yards	270.2	NCST	91.6
9.5	PYPC	12.2	NCST	2.7
6.0	PYPA	8.8	NCST	2.8
63.1	Completion PCT	72.3	NCST	9.2
119.2	Rushing Yards	165.5	NCST	46.3
3.9	RYPA	4.8	NCST	1.0
48.0	PenaltyYards	42.2	NCST	5.8
1.2	Turnovers	0.5	NCST	0.7

Defensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
5	Games	6	UNC	1
19.2	Points Scored	21.3	UNC	2.1
183.4	Passing Yards	258.2	UNC	74.8
10.1	PYPC	10.9	UNC	0.8
5.8	PYPA	7.0	UNC	1.1
58.0	Completion PCT	63.7	UNC	5.7
115.0	Rushing Yards	152.3	UNC	37.3
3.5	RYPA	4.8	UNC	1.3
45.4	PenaltyYards	47.7	NCST	2.3
0.8	Turnovers	1.0	NCST	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
19.8	Points Scored	29.6	NCST	9.8
184.0	Passing Yards	245.4	NCST	61.4
9.6	PYPC	11.1	NCST	1.5
6.2	PYPA	7.6	NCST	1.4
64.4	Completion PCT	68.4	NCST	4.0
114.2	Rushing Yards	149.9	NCST	35.7
3.9	RYPA	4.8	NCST	0.9
59.7	PenaltyYards	52.0	NCST	7.7
1.1	Turnovers	1.2	UNC	0.1

Defensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
20.4	Points Scored	31.0	UNC	10.6
205.0	Passing Yards	281.9	UNC	76.9
10.4	PYPC	12.7	UNC	2.3
6.5	PYPA	7.9	UNC	1.5
62.0	Completion PCT	62.5	UNC	0.6
106.0	Rushing Yards	155.5	UNC	49.5
3.0	RYPA	4.7	UNC	1.8
49.2	PenaltyYards	56.1	NCST	6.9
1.1	Turnovers	1.2	NCST	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	NCST	Edge	Margin
25	Games	25	-	0
26.0	Points Scored	28.6	NCST	2.6
252.4	Passing Yards	246.8	UNC	5.7
12.7	PYPC	12.9	NCST	0.2
7.4	PYPA	7.7	NCST	0.4
57.9	Completion PCT	59.8	NCST	1.9
140.8	Rushing Yards	167.9	NCST	27.1
4.0	RYPA	4.3	NCST	0.3
62.0	PenaltyYards	60.0	NCST	2.0
1.8	Turnovers	1.5	NCST	0.3

Player	Pos	Injury
North Carolina
Deems May	TE	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs NC State
Cort Halsey	TE	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs NC State
Connor Cox	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs NC State
Henry Martello	FB	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Duke
Jason Robinson Jr	WR	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Duke
Paul Billups II	WR	Left Team - is out indefinitely
Austin Blaske	OL	Foot - is out indefinitely

Player	Position	Injury
NC State
Jonathan Paylor	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Teddy Hoffmann	WR	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs North Carolina
Charlie Birtwistle	K	Undisclosed - is Questionable November 29th vs North Carolina
Isiah Jones	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable November 29th vs North Carolina
Griffin Reimer	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable November 29th vs North Carolina

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