Home-2

Gerald J. Ford Stadium

BROKEN CLOUDS [ 85° ] - Wind SSE at 14 MPH

12:00 PM ET (CW)	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Virginia	0	+8.5		4-2	3-3-0	3-3-0	32.8	19.2	22.6	51
SMU (24)	0	-8.5	51.5	4-1	1-3-1	2-3-0	34.6	23.0	28.3	-5.7

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Eddie Walls	CFB	2026-10-17	SMU (-9) (-110) vs Virginia	-	-

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 17	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
	DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Virginia Cavaliers	+8.5		49.0		22.6	51.0	23.4	54.4
SMU Mustangs	-8.5	51.5	52.0	-6.5	28.3	-5.7	31.1	-7.7

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Virginia			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 10	VS Syracuse	-600	-14	49.5	28-25	W	L	O	71%	96%	74%	62%	56%	79%
5	Oct 3	at Florida ST	-112	-1.5	51.5	7-38	L	L	U	32%	47%	53%	42%	95%	92%
4	Sep 26	VS Delaware	-1450	-19.5	52.5	42-3	W	W	U	49%	97%	75%	83%	90%	75%
3	Sep 19	(n) West Virginia	-410	-10.5	51.5	27-38	L	L	O	48%	84%	41%	47%	63%	78%
2	Sep 11	VS Norfolk ST	-	-47.5	56.5	59-3	W	W	O	0%	0%	72%	76%	87%	80%
1	Aug 29	VS NC State	-185	-4	50.5	34-8	W	W	U	51%	65%	48%	54%	60%	54%

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
SMU			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Oct 3	VS Boston College	-1650	-21.5	55.5	25-16	W	L	U	48%	92%	55%	56%	97%	75%
4	Sep 26	VS Missouri ST	-9000	-30.5	60.5	34-24	W	L	U	71%	95%	67%	84%	92%	62%
3	Sep 19	at Louisville	+130	+3	57.5	31-41	L	L	O	53%	42%	44%	53%	83%	87%
2	Sep 12	VS UC-Davis	-4000	-32.5	59.5	56-10	W	W	O	98%	99%	95%	96%	95%	79%
1	Sep 7	at Florida ST	-155	-3	52.5	27-24	W	P	U	55%	57%	77%	76%	69%	69%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Nov 23	SMU Mustangs Virginia Cavaliers	33 7	-12 +12	-440 +340	54.5	SMET	SMET	FAV	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
6	Games	5	UVA	1
32.8	Points Scored	34.6	SMU	1.8
217.5	Passing Yards	346.0	SMU	128.5
12.3	PYPC	13.3	SMU	1.0
8.0	PYPA	10.1	SMU	2.1
64.6	Completion PCT	75.6	SMU	11.0
162.8	Rushing Yards	138.2	UVA	24.6
3.9	RYPA	4.0	SMU	0.1
51.7	PenaltyYards	73.8	UVA	22.1
0.3	Turnovers	1.8	UVA	1.5

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
6	Games	5	SMU	1
19.2	Points Scored	23.0	UVA	3.8
161.8	Passing Yards	170.4	UVA	8.6
12.1	PYPC	9.8	SMU	2.4
6.1	PYPA	5.8	SMU	0.4
50.3	Completion PCT	58.8	UVA	8.5
151.8	Rushing Yards	141.6	SMU	10.2
4.0	RYPA	4.2	UVA	0.3
55.0	PenaltyYards	67.4	SMU	12.4
1.3	Turnovers	1.0	UVA	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	SMU	2
7.0	Points Scored	38.3	SMU	31.3
168.0	Passing Yards	359.3	SMU	191.3
12.0	PYPC	13.5	SMU	1.5
5.3	PYPA	10.7	SMU	5.4
43.8	Completion PCT	79.2	SMU	35.5
37.0	Rushing Yards	93.0	SMU	56.0
0.9	RYPA	2.9	SMU	2.0
50.0	PenaltyYards	80.0	UVA	30.0
0.0	Turnovers	0.7	UVA	0.7

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	UVA	2
38.0	Points Scored	16.7	SMU	21.3
183.0	Passing Yards	183.3	UVA	0.3
15.3	PYPC	9.0	SMU	6.2
9.6	PYPA	5.4	SMU	4.2
63.2	Completion PCT	59.8	SMU	3.4
281.0	Rushing Yards	81.3	SMU	199.7
6.1	RYPA	2.9	SMU	3.2
85.0	PenaltyYards	66.7	UVA	18.3
1.0	Turnovers	1.3	SMU	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.1	Points Scored	34.1	SMU	5.0
221.8	Passing Yards	328.2	SMU	106.4
11.3	PYPC	13.0	SMU	1.7
7.1	PYPA	9.2	SMU	2.1
62.9	Completion PCT	70.7	SMU	7.7
163.6	Rushing Yards	145.5	UVA	18.1
4.0	RYPA	4.5	SMU	0.4
49.0	PenaltyYards	77.3	UVA	28.3
0.7	Turnovers	1.5	UVA	0.8

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
17.3	Points Scored	21.1	UVA	3.8
155.9	Passing Yards	210.5	UVA	54.6
11.7	PYPC	9.8	SMU	1.9
6.0	PYPA	6.3	UVA	0.3
51.6	Completion PCT	64.4	UVA	12.8
136.8	Rushing Yards	139.9	UVA	3.1
3.8	RYPA	4.0	UVA	0.2
53.1	PenaltyYards	63.7	SMU	10.6
1.3	Turnovers	1.3	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
7.0	Points Scored	33.0	SMU	26.0
108.0	Passing Yards	323.0	SMU	215.0
6.0	PYPC	12.9	SMU	6.9
4.0	PYPA	9.8	SMU	5.8
66.7	Completion PCT	75.8	SMU	9.1
65.0	Rushing Yards	111.0	SMU	46.0
1.7	RYPA	3.2	SMU	1.5
20.0	PenaltyYards	48.0	UVA	28.0
0.0	Turnovers	2.0	UVA	2.0

Player	Pos	Injury
Virginia
Rico Flores Jr	WR	Knee - is OUT Saturday vs SMU
Triston Ward	WR	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Jack Stevens	RB	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Tyler Simmons	DT	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Bull Richardson	DT	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Isaiah Reese	LB	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Dillon Newton-Short	WR	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Chase Morrison	DE	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Jaylen Jones	S	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Gavin Johnson	DE	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Jewett Hayes	DE	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Noah Hartsoe	OL	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Alex Dunn	DB	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Dylan Biehl	OL	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Devon Baxter	DE	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Omillio Agard	CB	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs SMU
Jason Hammond	DT	Elbow - is out indefinitely
Tim Hamann	K	Undisclosed - is out indefinitely