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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Mercury	86	+3		32-19	26-25-0	22-28-1	82.5	79.5	76.6	160.1
Aces	89	-3	163.5	34-17	26-24-1	24-27-0	83.7	80.5	83.6	-7

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Wes Reynolds	WNBA	2025-10-03	Mercury at Aces - OVER (160) (-110)	175	WIN

Makinen Daily Ratings

Friday, October 3	Final	Line	OU	Rest	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Phoenix Mercury	86	+3.0		4	80.0		76.6	160.1	78.4	158.5
Las Vegas Aces	89	-3.0	163.5	4	82.0	-4.2	83.6	-7.0	80.1	-1.7

Phoenix	DraftKings	Results	Money Line	Spread	OVER Total
Sep 28	VS Minnesota	-180	-4.5	156	86-81	W	W	O	52%	62%	55%	48%	60%	68%
Sep 26	VS Minnesota	+142	+4	158.5	84-76	W	W	O	24%	25%	33%	45%	33%	60%
Sep 23	at Minnesota	+260	+7	160	89-83	W	W	O	27%	23%	41%	47%	55%	54%
Sep 21	at Minnesota	+310	+9	159.5	69-82	L	L	U	41%	17%	38%	57%	33%	58%
Sep 19	VS New York	-155	-3	155.5	79-73	W	W	U	53%	50%	55%	47%	44%	53%
Sep 17	at New York	+160	+5	160.5	86-60	W	W	U	31%	23%	48%	37%	49%	54%
Sep 14	VS New York	+114	+2	164	69-76	L	L	U	43%	35%	30%	26%	66%	66%
Sep 11	at Dallas	-230	-5.5	168	76-97	L	L	O	75%	78%	47%	70%	58%	55%
Sep 9	VS Los Angeles	-265	-7	173.5	83-88	L	L	U	65%	78%	55%	46%	73%	46%
Sep 6	at Connecticut	-600	-10.5	161.5	84-87	L	L	O	45%	89%	57%	60%	70%	55%

Recent Results

Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Las Vegas		DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
Sep 28	at Indiana	-166	-3	161	83-90	L	L	O	52%	73%	78%	65%	59%	56%
Sep 26	at Indiana	-175	-3.5	163	84-72	W	W	U	56%	72%	46%	54%	46%	49%
Sep 23	VS Indiana	-425	-9	164.5	90-68	W	W	U	63%	70%	52%	36%	44%	39%
Sep 21	VS Indiana	-425	-9	165.5	73-89	L	L	U	56%	81%	44%	37%	47%	54%
Sep 18	VS Seattle	-425	-8.5	159	74-73	W	L	U	85%	86%	77%	63%	44%	67%
Sep 16	at Seattle	-218	-5	162	83-86	L	L	O	93%	88%	82%	85%	51%	66%
Sep 14	VS Seattle	-245	-6	162	102-77	W	W	O	86%	88%	74%	82%	70%	64%
Sep 11	at Los Angeles	-470	-9.5	172	103-75	W	W	O	45%	79%	64%	44%	74%	58%
Sep 9	VS Chicago	-1800	-18	160	92-61	W	W	U	51%	84%	56%	57%	45%	52%
Sep 7	VS Chicago	-2100	-17	161	80-66	W	L	U	37%	81%	45%	58%	72%	60%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2025 Aug 21	Phoenix Mercury Las Vegas Aces	61 83	+1.5 -1.5	+102 -122	171.5	LAS	LAS	FAV	HOME	Under
2025 Aug 15	Las Vegas Aces Phoenix Mercury	86 83	+4.5 -4.5	+160 -192	168	LAS	LAS	DOG	Road	Over
2025 Jun 29	Las Vegas Aces Phoenix Mercury	84 81	+5.5 -5.5	+180 -218	168	LAS	LAS	DOG	Road	Under
2025 Jun 15	Phoenix Mercury Las Vegas Aces	76 70	-4.5 +4.5	-185 +154	164.5	PHO	PHO	FAV	Road	Under
2024 Sep 1	Las Vegas Aces Phoenix Mercury	97 79	-5.5 +5.5	-225 +185	169.5	LAS	LAS	FAV	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

PHO	Statistic	LAS	Edge	Margin
51	Games	51	-	0
82.5	Points Scored	83.7	LAS	1.3
29.7	FG Made	29.9	LAS	0.2
69.1	FG Att	67.3	PHO	1.9
43.0%	FG Pct	44.5%	LAS	1.5%
13.8	FT Made	15.1	LAS	1.3
17.5	FT Att	18.5	LAS	0.9
78.8%	FT Pct	81.6%	LAS	2.9%
9.2	3PT Made	8.8	PHO	0.4
27.3	3PT Att	24.7	PHO	2.6
33.7%	3PT Pct	35.5%	LAS	1.8%
8.6	Off Reb	7.8	PHO	0.8
35.1	Rebounds	33.0	PHO	2.2
20.9	Assists	19.7	PHO	1.3
7.9	Steals	7.6	PHO	0.2
3.5	Blocks	4.9	LAS	1.4
12.4	Turnovers	12.0	LAS	0.4
17.2	Fouls	16.9	LAS	0.4

Defensive Statistics

PHO	Statistic	LAS	Edge	Margin
51	Games	51	-	0
79.5	Points Scored	80.5	PHO	1.0
28.6	FG Made	29.8	PHO	1.2
67.6	FG Att	68.6	PHO	1.0
42.3%	FG Pct	43.5%	PHO	1.2%
14.5	FT Made	13.7	LAS	0.8
18.1	FT Att	16.9	LAS	1.1
80.0%	FT Pct	80.8%	PHO	0.8%
7.9	3PT Made	7.2	LAS	0.7
25.1	3PT Att	22.3	LAS	2.8
31.4%	3PT Pct	32.1%	PHO	0.7%
8.2	Off Reb	8.8	PHO	0.5
35.6	Rebounds	34.9	LAS	0.7
19.6	Assists	19.9	PHO	0.3
7.1	Steals	6.7	LAS	0.5
4.0	Blocks	2.7	LAS	1.4
13.7	Turnovers	12.7	LAS	1.1
16.2	Fouls	17.3	PHO	1.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

PHO	Statistic	LAS	Edge	Margin
25	Games	26	LAS	1
81.7	Points Scored	86.4	LAS	4.7
29.7	FG Made	30.7	LAS	1.0
69.0	FG Att	67.6	PHO	1.4
43.1%	FG Pct	45.5%	LAS	2.4%
13.6	FT Made	15.6	LAS	2.1
17.1	FT Att	18.6	LAS	1.5
79.4%	FT Pct	84.1%	LAS	4.7%
8.7	3PT Made	9.3	LAS	0.6
27.3	3PT Att	25.2	PHO	2.1
32.0%	3PT Pct	36.9%	LAS	4.9%
8.6	Off Reb	7.9	PHO	0.7
35.1	Rebounds	33.0	PHO	2.2
20.9	Assists	19.7	PHO	1.2
7.8	Steals	8.1	LAS	0.3
3.3	Blocks	4.7	LAS	1.4
12.8	Turnovers	11.6	LAS	1.2
17.5	Fouls	16.0	LAS	1.5

Defensive Statistics

PHO	Statistic	LAS	Edge	Margin
25	Games	26	PHO	1
82.4	Points Scored	80.2	LAS	2.1
29.6	FG Made	29.9	PHO	0.3
68.2	FG Att	67.6	LAS	0.5
43.4%	FG Pct	44.3%	PHO	0.8%
15.1	FT Made	12.4	LAS	2.7
18.6	FT Att	15.2	LAS	3.5
80.9%	FT Pct	81.8%	PHO	0.9%
8.1	3PT Made	8.0	LAS	0.1
25.0	3PT Att	23.3	LAS	1.7
32.3%	3PT Pct	34.2%	PHO	1.9%
7.9	Off Reb	8.5	PHO	0.6
35.6	Rebounds	33.5	LAS	2.1
20.3	Assists	19.6	LAS	0.7
7.6	Steals	6.7	LAS	1.0
3.8	Blocks	2.3	LAS	1.5
13.5	Turnovers	12.7	LAS	0.8
16.2	Fouls	17.1	PHO	0.9

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

PHO	Statistic	LAS	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
80.5	Points Scored	86.4	LAS	5.9
29.3	FG Made	32.6	LAS	3.3
70.7	FG Att	66.6	PHO	4.1
41.4%	FG Pct	49.0%	LAS	7.5%
13.1	FT Made	11.8	PHO	1.3
16.7	FT Att	15.3	PHO	1.4
78.4%	FT Pct	77.1%	PHO	1.3%
8.8	3PT Made	9.4	LAS	0.6
26.5	3PT Att	23.0	PHO	3.5
33.2%	3PT Pct	40.9%	LAS	7.7%
8.1	Off Reb	6.4	PHO	1.7
36.5	Rebounds	30.5	PHO	6.0
20.8	Assists	22.2	LAS	1.4
7.8	Steals	9.3	LAS	1.5
2.1	Blocks	5.5	LAS	3.4
12.3	Turnovers	11.6	LAS	0.7
15.7	Fouls	17.0	PHO	1.3

Defensive Statistics

PHO	Statistic	LAS	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
80.3	Points Scored	75.7	LAS	4.6
30.0	FG Made	28.2	LAS	1.8
71.9	FG Att	67.5	LAS	4.4
41.7%	FG Pct	41.8%	PHO	0.1%
12.7	FT Made	13.2	PHO	0.5
16.5	FT Att	16.5	-	0.0
77.0%	FT Pct	80.0%	PHO	3.0%
7.6	3PT Made	6.1	LAS	1.5
27.1	3PT Att	19.8	LAS	7.3
28.0%	3PT Pct	30.8%	PHO	2.8%
8.2	Off Reb	9.0	PHO	0.8
37.5	Rebounds	33.6	LAS	3.9
19.2	Assists	17.1	LAS	2.1
7.2	Steals	6.9	LAS	0.3
5.0	Blocks	3.1	LAS	1.9
12.3	Turnovers	13.7	PHO	1.4
14.8	Fouls	16.1	PHO	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

PHO	Statistic	LAS	Edge	Margin
25	Games	25	-	0
82.8	Points Scored	90.5	LAS	7.7
30.8	FG Made	32.8	LAS	2.1
71.0	FG Att	69.4	PHO	1.6
43.4%	FG Pct	47.4%	LAS	4.0%
12.8	FT Made	16.2	LAS	3.4
15.6	FT Att	19.8	LAS	4.1
81.6%	FT Pct	82.0%	LAS	0.4%
8.5	3PT Made	8.6	LAS	0.1
25.0	3PT Att	23.7	PHO	1.3
33.9%	3PT Pct	36.3%	LAS	2.4%
8.2	Off Reb	7.1	PHO	1.1
34.2	Rebounds	35.3	LAS	1.1
19.9	Assists	20.9	LAS	1.0
5.2	Steals	6.9	LAS	1.7
3.8	Blocks	3.6	PHO	0.1
11.8	Turnovers	10.0	LAS	1.8
17.8	Fouls	15.7	LAS	2.1

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